Weather in Abraham’s Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:24 am (EDT)

Now · clear 83 °F

Feels like: 93 °F
Low / high: 80 / 83 °F
Rain: 29% · 0.01 in
Wind: 2 mph ENE

→ 29.92 inHg · steady UV 8 · high

Today in Abraham’s Bay: light drizzle, 80 °F to 83 °F, with a 29% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light air from the east-northeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 78 °F to 83 °F and a 39% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

83° 80°
Today
83° 78°
Fri 30
85° 80°
Sat 31
84° 81°
Sun 1
82° 77°
Mon 2
82° 75°
Tue 3
83° 81°
Wed 4
83° 81°
Thu 5
82° 79°
Fri 6
83° 80°
Sat 7
82° 79°
Sun 8
82° 79°
Mon 9
83° 81°
Tue 10
82° 80°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	29% · 0.01 in	8 mph S	2.4 ft	10:54 am · 11:14 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	78 / 83 °F	39% · 0.17 in	9 mph NNE	2.0 ft	11:50 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	80 / 85 °F	49% · 0.11 in	14 mph ENE	1.8 ft	12:14 am · 12:51 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	81 / 84 °F	59% · 0.13 in	13 mph E	2.2 ft	1:20 am · 12:55 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	77 / 82 °F	63% · 0.46 in	16 mph ESE	2.3 ft	1:30 am · 2:01 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light showers	75 / 82 °F	53% · 0.37 in	11 mph SSW	2.1 ft	2:40 am · 3:04 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	81 / 83 °F	35%	11 mph SW	1.8 ft	3:43 am · 4:03 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	81 / 83 °F	29% · 0.08 in	10 mph SW	1.6 ft	4:39 am · 4:56 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	79 / 82 °F	27% · 0.43 in	14 mph S	1.9 ft	5:29 am · 5:45 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	80 / 83 °F	29% · 0.28 in	9 mph SSE	1.4 ft	6:14 am · 6:29 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	79 / 82 °F	41% · 0.37 in	11 mph ESE	1.5 ft	6:55 am · 7:11 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	43% · 0.10 in	9 mph ENE	1.4 ft	7:35 am · 7:50 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	81 / 83 °F	41% · 0.35 in	9 mph E	1.4 ft	8:13 am · 8:30 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	80 / 82 °F	46% · 0.31 in	9 mph ESE	1.6 ft	8:52 am · 9:09 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	83°	83°	82°	82°	80°	81°	82°	82°
Chance of rain	7%	15%	20%	29%	19%	6%	2%	4%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	1 E	2 NNE	5 N	3 E	8 S	6 SW	3 SW	1 SE
Humidity	75%	79%	80%	77%	84%	81%	78%	75%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	83°	83°	85°	84°	82°	82°	83°
AIFS	84°	83°	83°	82°	81°	82°	82°
GFS	83°	83°	83°	83°	83°	82°	82°
ICON	86°	86°	86°	85°	84°	87°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.17 in	0.11 in	0.13 in	0.46 in	0.37 in	0
AIFS	0.09 in	0.13 in	0.11 in	0.44 in	0.51 in	0.39 in	0.17 in
GFS	0.21 in	0.35 in	0.20 in	0.16 in	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.29 in
ICON	0.01 in	0.04 in	0	0.05 in	0.14 in	0	0
Confidence	low	medium	medium	medium	medium	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	812	916	1419	1321	1621	1124	1117
AIFS	4	9	14	15	14	11	5
GFS	78	1112	1919	1919	1415	1212	1211
ICON	59	69	1117	1422	1118	711	813
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	29%	39%	49%	59%	63%	53%	35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	49%	61%	66%	42%	58%	33%	20%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +47%	Above +2.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +69%	Above +2.3 °F	82° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +56%	Above +2.3 °F	81° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +38%	Above +2.3 °F	81° / 79°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +57%	Above +2.7 °F
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Above +99%	Above +2.2 °F
February	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +73%	A bit above +1.4 °F
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +41%	A bit above +1.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Abraham’s Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Abraham’s Bay is from December to April: highs of 83 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Abraham’s Bay, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Oscar, in October 2024.

82° 67°

JanJ
82° 69°

FebF
83° 70°

MarM
83° 73°

AprA
83° 77°

MayM
88° 76°

JunJ
90° 77°

JulJ
91° 77°

AugA
89° 77°

SepS
87° 76°

OctO
85° 72°

NovN
83° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	67°	1.61 in	4	6.9	78°	5.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	82°	69°	0.96 in	3	7.4	78°	5.2 ft	–
MarchMar	83°	70°	1.32 in	5	8.0	78°	5.2 ft	–
AprilApr	83°	73°	1.35 in	5	8.6	78°	4.4 ft	–
MayMay	83°	77°	2.65 in	11	8.1	80°	4.1 ft	–
JuneJun	88°	76°	1.85 in	11	8.1	82°	3.5 ft	–
JulyJul	90°	77°	1.56 in	7	8.6	83°	3.9 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	77°	2.73 in	9	8.2	84°	3.9 ft	4
SeptemberSep	89°	77°	3.42 in	13	7.1	84°	4.0 ft	6
OctoberOct	87°	76°	5.59 in	14	6.7	84°	4.5 ft	2
NovemberNov	85°	72°	4.48 in	10	6.9	82°	5.2 ft	1
DecemberDec	83°	70°	2.17 in	5	6.7	80°	5.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	78°	5.2 ft	–
Feb	78°	5.2 ft	–
Mar	78°	5.2 ft	–
Apr	78°	4.4 ft	–
May	80°	4.1 ft	–
Jun	82°	3.5 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.9 ft	1
Aug	84°	3.9 ft	4
Sep	84°	4.0 ft	6
Oct	84°	4.5 ft	2
Nov	82°	5.2 ft	1
Dec	80°	5.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 29.67 in of rain on about 97 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now83 °Ffeels like 93 °F

Tomorrow78 / 83 °F

It's 83 °F now (feels like 93 °F). Today, 80 °F to 83 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 29% 0.01 in
Fri 30 39% 0.17 in
Sat 31 49% 0.11 in
Sun 1 59% 0.13 in
Mon 2 63% 0.46 in
Tue 3 53% 0.37 in
Wed 4 35%

Today the chance of rain reaches 29%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 39% and 0.17 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.19 in; last 3 days, 1.21 in; last 7 days, 3.90 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity75%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 75% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.99

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.19 in	11 mph SE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.09 in	14 mph S
Mon 26	Light showers	80 / 83 °F	1.02 in	18 mph S
Sun 25	Showers	77 / 83 °F	1.93 in	17 mph ENE
Sat 24	Light showers	79 / 83 °F	0.35 in	16 mph E
Fri 23	Light showers	80 / 86 °F	0.32 in	15 mph ENE
Thu 22	Overcast	80 / 85 °F	0	6 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Showers	79 / 83 °F	0.89 in	9 mph NW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.08 in	14 mph NE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.04 in	15 mph ENE
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	84 / 86 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Sat 17	Clear sky	84 / 86 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.05 in	16 mph E
Thu 15	Mainly clear	84 / 86 °F	0	16 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.08 in	14 mph E
Tue 13	Clear sky	84 / 86 °F	0	13 mph E
Mon 12	Mainly clear	84 / 86 °F	0	20 mph E
Sun 11	Light drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.04 in	21 mph E
Sat 10	Clear sky	85 / 86 °F	0	21 mph E
Fri 9	Drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.20 in	20 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	85 / 86 °F	0.01 in	18 mph ESE
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	84 / 86 °F	0	12 mph SE
Tue 6	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.12 in	9 mph ESE
Mon 5	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.17 in	14 mph E
Sun 4	Light showers	82 / 85 °F	0.26 in	16 mph E
Sat 3	Drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.08 in	18 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.02 in	19 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.01 in	21 mph E
Wed 30	Thunderstorm	84 / 86 °F	0.20 in	19 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.02 in	18 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Abraham’s BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Abraham’s Bay?

Light drizzle, from 80 °F to 83 °F, with a light air from the east-northeast (2 mph) and a 29% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Abraham’s Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 39% (0.17 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and steady: −0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Abraham’s Bay?

The best time to visit Abraham’s Bay is from December to April: highs of 83 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Abraham’s Bay in October?

In October, Abraham’s Bay normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 76 °F, with about 14 rainy days (5.59 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Abraham’s Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is October (5.59 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Abraham’s Bay?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Abraham’s Bay, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Oscar, in October 2024.

More about Abraham’s Bay today

Weather near Abraham’s Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:24 am (local time).

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