TidePlanet

Weather in Lancelin

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:02 pm (GMT+8)
Now · clear 65 °F
Feels like
65 °F
Low / high
54 / 81 °F
Rain
2%
Wind
6 mph SW
↗ 29.95 inHg · rising UV 11 · very high

Today in Lancelin: overcast, 54 °F to 81 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a light breeze from the southwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 54 °F to 72 °F and a 12% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 81 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (82%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Overcast 54 / 81 °F 2% 11 mph WSW 4.7 ft 10:44 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Overcast 54 / 72 °F 12% 11 mph WNW 4.7 ft 11:23 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Light rain 56 / 73 °F 82% · 0.40 in 16 mph NW 7.5 ft — ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 57 / 69 °F 71% · 0.08 in 13 mph SW 8.7 ft 12:01 am ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 57 / 68 °F 6% · 0.01 in 10 mph WSW 7.9 ft 12:32 am · 11:13 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 57 / 72 °F 27% · 0.04 in 9 mph SW 7.2 ft 9:44 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Clear sky 54 / 76 °F 0% 11 mph S 9.9 ft 8:09 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Partly cloudy 58 / 71 °F 2% 14 mph SSW 9.8 ft 7:31 am · 7:48 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Overcast 60 / 78 °F 2% 13 mph S 10 ft 7:55 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Mainly clear 62 / 77 °F 6% 13 mph S 10 ft 8:08 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Overcast 61 / 75 °F 4% 11 mph SW 6.2 ft 8:23 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 63 / 72 °F 6% · 0.02 in 14 mph SSW 7.1 ft 8:38 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 57 / 70 °F 6% 14 mph S 10.0 ft 8:57 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Overcast 56 / 77 °F 5% 11 mph S 10 ft 9:22 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearMainly clearPartly cloudyClear skyClear skyClear skyClear skyClear
Temperature 59°54°59°74°80°75°68°60°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%1%2%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 2 SE4 NNE1 NE1 NW6 WSW11 SW8 SW3 SW
Humidity 82%88%72%47%37%46%64%91%
UV 000511500
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 81°72°73°69°68°72°76°
AIFS 78°75°73°70°71°75°80°
GFS 79°73°74°70°70°73°85°
ICON 77°74°72°68°70°73°79°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighmedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 000.40 in0.08 in0.01 in0.04 in0
AIFS 000.22 in0.06 in0.02 in00
GFS 00.02 in0.13 in0.02 in00.01 in0
ICON 000.07 in0.01 in000
Confidence highhighmediummediumhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 112611241631132710269251126
AIFS 12131511111012
GFS 1520151817231415131514211521
ICON 1526152618321324142513251629
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 2%12%82%71%6%27%0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%13%87%7%3%16%0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Normal 0.0 °F Below −76% Normal +0.2 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +0.9 °F Normal Normal +0.2 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal +0.2 °F Normal Normal +0.2 °F 68° / 65°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.1 °F Normal Normal +0.2 °F 70° / 67°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal +0.7 °F Normal Normal +0.4 °F 71° / 67°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.4 °F Normal A bit above +1.3 °F
December A bit above +0.9 °F Normal A bit above +1.1 °F
January Normal +0.7 °F Normal A bit above +0.7 °F
February Normal +0.4 °F Below −56% Normal −0.2 °F
March Normal +0.4 °F Normal A bit below −0.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Lancelin climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Lancelin is from October to March: highs of 73 °F to 87 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 11 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Lancelin: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), in February 2021.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 86° 64° 0.67 in 2 11.5 71° 7.7 ft
FebruaryFeb 87° 65° 0.52 in 1 11.2 72° 7.0 ft
MarchMar 85° 63° 0.74 in 2 9.3 73° 7.4 ft
AprilApr 79° 59° 1.03 in 3 7.9 72° 8.0 ft
MayMay 74° 55° 2.85 in 7 7.4 71° 8.7 ft
JuneJun 69° 51° 4.54 in 10 6.5 70° 9.4 ft
JulyJul 67° 50° 4.74 in 11 6.7 69° 10 ft
AugustAug 67° 50° 3.91 in 10 7.2 67° 9.8 ft
SeptemberSep 69° 51° 2.45 in 7 8.4 66° 9.9 ft
OctoberOct 73° 53° 1.25 in 3 9.8 67° 8.6 ft
NovemberNov 78° 57° 0.85 in 2 11.0 68° 8.0 ft
DecemberDec 83° 61° 0.23 in 1 12.3 70° 7.5 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 71° 7.7 ft
Feb 72° 7.0 ft
Mar 73° 7.4 ft
Apr 72° 8.0 ft
May 71° 8.7 ft
Jun 70° 9.4 ft
Jul 69° 10 ft
Aug 67° 9.8 ft
Sep 66° 9.9 ft
Oct 67° 8.6 ft
Nov 68° 8.0 ft
Dec 70° 7.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 23.77 in of rain on about 59 days and about 3,300 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now65 °Ffeels like 65 °F
Tomorrow54 / 72 °F

It's 65 °F now (feels like 65 °F). Today, 54 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 54 °F to 72 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 2%
  • Fri 30 12%
  • Sat 31 82% 0.40 in
  • Sun 1 71% 0.08 in
  • Mon 2 6% 0.01 in
  • Tue 3 27% 0.04 in
  • Wed 4 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 82% and 0.40 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.01 in; last 7 days, 0.63 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%
Dew point57 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 57 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak11very high

Fri 30: 11 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 10

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light drizzle61 / 79 °F0.01 in14 mph ESE
Tue 27 Clear sky53 / 82 °F014 mph SE
Mon 26 Rain51 / 69 °F0.54 in12 mph SE
Sun 25 Mainly clear43 / 66 °F013 mph S
Sat 24 Light drizzle47 / 63 °F0.05 in15 mph S
Fri 23 Light drizzle54 / 64 °F0.02 in14 mph SSW
Thu 22 Light drizzle60 / 70 °F0.02 in12 mph SW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast49 / 73 °F013 mph WNW
Tue 20 Partly cloudy48 / 71 °F09 mph SW
Mon 19 Overcast53 / 73 °F010 mph S
Sun 18 Light drizzle58 / 68 °F0.02 in12 mph WSW
Sat 17 Overcast52 / 73 °F011 mph WNW
Fri 16 Overcast48 / 72 °F011 mph WNW
Thu 15 Drizzle55 / 71 °F0.15 in11 mph W
Wed 14 Drizzle63 / 90 °F0.12 in15 mph NNE
Tue 13 Overcast56 / 83 °F013 mph E
Mon 12 Mainly clear49 / 73 °F011 mph ESE
Sun 11 Light drizzle54 / 68 °F0.04 in12 mph SSE
Sat 10 Light drizzle56 / 67 °F0.11 in12 mph WSW
Fri 9 Light drizzle56 / 66 °F0.01 in12 mph WSW
Thu 8 Light rain58 / 66 °F0.39 in17 mph WSW
Wed 7 Overcast60 / 71 °F012 mph SW
Tue 6 Overcast51 / 83 °F012 mph SSE
Mon 5 Overcast49 / 71 °F011 mph S
Sun 4 Overcast51 / 71 °F010 mph SSW
Sat 3 Partly cloudy47 / 76 °F012 mph S
Fri 2 Clear sky47 / 75 °F013 mph SE
Thu 1 Overcast48 / 68 °F010 mph SSE
Wed 30 Heavy drizzle54 / 64 °F0.21 in12 mph SW
Tue 29 Light drizzle50 / 67 °F0.04 in9 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in LancelinQuestions

What's the weather like today in Lancelin?

Overcast, from 54 °F to 81 °F, with a light breeze from the southwest (6 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Lancelin?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 12% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 54 °F and a high of 81 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.95 inHg and rising: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Lancelin?

The best time to visit Lancelin is from October to March: highs of 73 °F to 87 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 11 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Lancelin in October?

In October, Lancelin normally sees highs of 73 °F and lows of 53 °F, with about 3 rainy days (1.25 in for the month) and 10 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 67 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Lancelin?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 50 °F. The wettest is July (4.74 in) and the driest, December.

More about Lancelin today

Weather near Lancelin

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:02 pm (local time).

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