Weather in Nelson

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:41 pm (GMT+11)

Now · mainly clear 62 °F

Feels like: 60 °F
Low / high: 52 / 63 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 9 mph SSW

↘ 30.28 inHg · falling

Today in Nelson: overcast, 52 °F to 63 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 48 °F to 78 °F and a 24% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 78 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (85%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

63° 52°
Today
78° 48°
Fri 30
66° 56°
Sat 31
62° 50°
Sun 1
65° 49°
Mon 2
65° 52°
Tue 3
60° 48°
Wed 4
56° 53°
Thu 5
60° 51°
Fri 6
59° 47°
Sat 7
72° 43°
Sun 8
67° 61°
Mon 9
64° 53°
Tue 10
60° 49°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	52 / 63 °F	0%	9 mph SW	8.2 ft	2:53 am · 1:13 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	48 / 78 °F	24%	11 mph NNE	7.3 ft	3:26 am · 1:09 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light rain	56 / 66 °F	85% · 0.32 in	16 mph WNW	6.6 ft	3:59 am · 1:03 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	50 / 62 °F	57% · 0.09 in	11 mph WSW	6.0 ft	4:32 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	49 / 65 °F	49% · 0.06 in	10 mph ESE	7.3 ft	5:07 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	52 / 65 °F	26%	10 mph SSW	7.3 ft	5:46 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	48 / 60 °F	79% · 0.26 in	18 mph SW	8.3 ft	10:19 am	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	53 / 56 °F	32% · 0.02 in	17 mph SSW	8.7 ft	2:21 am · 10:59 am	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	51 / 60 °F	37% · 0.02 in	10 mph WNW	8.3 ft	12:39 am · 11:19 am	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	47 / 59 °F	29% · 0.05 in	12 mph SW	13 ft	12:39 am · 11:40 am	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	43 / 72 °F	24% · 0.02 in	16 mph NE	12 ft	12:56 am · 12:02 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	61 / 67 °F	24% · 0.09 in	16 mph N	7.1 ft	1:19 am · 12:24 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	53 / 64 °F	24% · 0.07 in	12 mph WSW	10 ft	1:44 am · 12:45 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	49 / 60 °F	31% · 0.28 in	18 mph W	11 ft	2:10 am · 1:05 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	55°	55°	55°	58°	62°	63°	59°	54°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 WSW	5 WSW	4 WSW	4 WSW	5 SW	9 SSW	7 SSW	5 SE
Humidity	85%	84%	87%	75%	65%	67%	75%	89%
UV	0	0	0	1	3	3	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	63°	78°	66°	62°	65°	65°	60°
AIFS	62°	73°	64°	62°	62°	61°	58°
GFS	63°	80°	67°	63°	62°	66°	60°
ICON	65°	80°	65°	66°	67°	66°	60°
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0.32 in	0.09 in	0.06 in	0	0.26 in
AIFS	0	0	0.24 in	0.05 in	0.66 in	0	0.19 in
GFS	0	0	0.11 in	0	0	0	0.17 in
ICON	0	0.00 in	0.26 in	0.00 in	0.21 in	0	0.39 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	922	1125	1634	1123	1026	1033	1836
AIFS	9	11	18	12	9	11	21
GFS	914	821	1234	1020	1117	911	1828
ICON	613	1129	1533	615	821	1126	1328
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	24%	85%	57%	49%	26%	79%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	3%	84%	35%	3%	6%	42%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal 0.0 °F	A bit above +33%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	A bit below −27%	A bit above +1.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	62° / 57°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	62° / 57°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	62° / 57°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
March	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +24%	A bit above +0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nelson climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nelson is from December to March: highs of 71 °F to 75 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

74° 55°

JanJ
75° 55°

FebF
72° 53°

MarM
67° 50°

AprA
62° 48°

MayM
57° 45°

JunJ
56° 44°

JulJ
58° 45°

AugA
61° 46°

SepS
65° 48°

OctO
68° 50°

NovN
71° 52°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	74°	55°	1.46 in	4	9.2	63°	6.4 ft
FebruaryFeb	75°	55°	0.96 in	3	8.5	64°	6.5 ft
MarchMar	72°	53°	1.39 in	4	7.0	63°	7.0 ft
AprilApr	67°	50°	2.15 in	5	5.3	61°	7.3 ft
MayMay	62°	48°	2.84 in	9	4.1	61°	7.9 ft
JuneJun	57°	45°	4.19 in	12	3.8	60°	7.6 ft
JulyJul	56°	44°	3.93 in	12	4.2	59°	8.5 ft
AugustAug	58°	45°	4.01 in	12	4.9	58°	8.4 ft
SeptemberSep	61°	46°	3.05 in	10	5.8	57°	8.0 ft
OctoberOct	65°	48°	2.39 in	7	6.9	58°	7.5 ft
NovemberNov	68°	50°	1.97 in	6	8.0	59°	6.8 ft
DecemberDec	71°	52°	1.56 in	5	8.9	61°	6.5 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	63°	6.4 ft
Feb	64°	6.5 ft
Mar	63°	7.0 ft
Apr	61°	7.3 ft
May	61°	7.9 ft
Jun	60°	7.6 ft
Jul	59°	8.5 ft
Aug	58°	8.4 ft
Sep	57°	8.0 ft
Oct	58°	7.5 ft
Nov	59°	6.8 ft
Dec	61°	6.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 29.92 in of rain on about 90 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now62 °Ffeels like 60 °F

Tomorrow48 / 78 °F

It's 62 °F now (feels like 60 °F). Today, 52 °F to 63 °F; tomorrow, 48 °F to 78 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 24%
Sat 31 85% 0.32 in
Sun 1 57% 0.09 in
Mon 2 49% 0.06 in
Tue 3 26%
Wed 4 79% 0.26 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 85% and 0.32 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.11 in; last 7 days, 0.74 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity68%

Dew point51 °F

Humidity is 68% now and the dew point is 51 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds41%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 29.64

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.43 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 22

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	49 / 61 °F	0.04 in	13 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	45 / 58 °F	0.07 in	12 mph W
Mon 26	Light drizzle	47 / 58 °F	0.05 in	11 mph WSW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	51 / 57 °F	0.21 in	13 mph SW
Sat 24	Light rain	51 / 69 °F	0.35 in	10 mph S
Fri 23	Light drizzle	56 / 79 °F	0.02 in	12 mph NW
Thu 22	Overcast	54 / 87 °F	0	14 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	55 / 65 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	58 / 77 °F	0.06 in	13 mph NNW
Mon 19	Overcast	64 / 81 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Sun 18	Mainly clear	57 / 80 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Sat 17	Partly cloudy	53 / 77 °F	0	12 mph NE
Fri 16	Overcast	47 / 74 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Thu 15	Overcast	44 / 67 °F	0	9 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	49 / 56 °F	0	11 mph SE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	51 / 56 °F	0.02 in	14 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	53 / 60 °F	0.02 in	16 mph W
Sun 11	Light drizzle	52 / 77 °F	0.07 in	17 mph NNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	52 / 65 °F	0.06 in	19 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	56 / 69 °F	0.17 in	15 mph N
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	45 / 75 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	44 / 65 °F	0	9 mph E
Tue 6	Light drizzle	50 / 59 °F	0.05 in	16 mph WSW
Mon 5	Overcast	46 / 61 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Sun 4	Overcast	48 / 59 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Sat 3	Drizzle	52 / 58 °F	0.09 in	18 mph SSE
Fri 2	Drizzle	54 / 59 °F	0.14 in	17 mph SSE
Thu 1	Light rain	55 / 62 °F	0.30 in	6 mph N
Wed 30	Heavy drizzle	59 / 71 °F	0.51 in	9 mph NNW
Tue 29	Drizzle	57 / 76 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in NelsonQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nelson?

Overcast, from 52 °F to 63 °F, with a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (9 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nelson?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 24% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 48 °F and a high of 78 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.28 inHg and falling: +0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nelson?

The best time to visit Nelson is from December to March: highs of 71 °F to 75 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nelson in October?

In October, Nelson normally sees highs of 65 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 7 rainy days (2.39 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 58 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nelson?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 44 °F. The wettest is June (4.19 in) and the driest, February.

More about Nelson today

Weather near Nelson

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:41 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from