Weather in Black Rock
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:26 pm (GMT+11)- Feels like
- 66 °F
- Low / high
- 51 / 66 °F
- Rain
- 4% · 0.01 in
- Wind
- 5 mph S
Today in Black Rock: light drizzle, 51 °F to 66 °F, with a 4% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the south (5 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 49 °F to 78 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 78 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (95%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 51 / 66 °F | 4% · 0.01 in | 5 mph SW | 2.9 ft | 6:10 am · 5:22 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 49 / 78 °F | 0% | 11 mph NNE | 1.8 ft | 6:56 am · 6:06 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 58 / 74 °F | 95% · 0.40 in | 15 mph NNW | 2.6 ft | 7:40 am · 6:51 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 56 / 67 °F | 31% · 0.01 in | 8 mph WSW | 2.2 ft | 8:23 am · 7:39 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 50 / 68 °F | 69% · 0.39 in | 7 mph NE | 2.3 ft | 9:06 am · 8:30 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 55 / 65 °F | 45% · 0.18 in | 10 mph S | 2.9 ft | 9:50 am · 9:27 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 48 / 68 °F | 82% · 0.54 in | 10 mph NW | 1.7 ft | 10:36 am · 10:32 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 52 / 58 °F | 54% · 0.47 in | 17 mph SSW | 6.0 ft | 11:26 am · 11:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 49 / 60 °F | 27% | 5 mph S | 2.9 ft | 12:21 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 51 / 63 °F | 33% · 0.05 in | 11 mph SSW | 2.8 ft | 1:18 am · 1:19 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 46 / 66 °F | 27% | 4 mph SE | 2.0 ft | 2:41 am · 2:16 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 57 / 79 °F | 22% | 15 mph NNE | 2.4 ft | 3:47 am · 3:09 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 58 / 77 °F | 18% · 0.05 in | 17 mph N | 2.5 ft | 4:41 am · 3:55 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 53 / 67 °F | 25% · 0.12 in | 6 mph SW | 1.9 ft | 5:27 am · 4:36 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Mainly clear | Partly cloudy | Overcast | Light drizzle | Partly cloudy | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear |
| Temperature | 55° | 53° | 52° | 58° | 63° | 66° | 63° | 57° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 5 WSW | 4 W | 3 W | 5 WSW | 5 SSW | 5 S | 5 S | 3 SSW |
| Humidity | 84% | 88% | 91% | 80% | 64% | 62% | 68% | 87% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on temperature on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 66° | 78° | 74° | 67° | 68° | 65° | 68° |
| AIFS | 67° | 78° | 70° | 67° | 62° | 65° | 63° |
| GFS | 65° | 80° | 80° | 68° | 70° | 71° | 61° |
| ICON | 67° | 79° | 74° | 69° | 74° | 68° | 65° |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | high | low | medium | medium |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.01 in | 0 | 0.40 in | 0.01 in | 0.39 in | 0.18 in | 0.54 in |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0.31 in | 0.05 in | 0.61 in | 0.33 in | 0.28 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0.18 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 in |
| ICON | 0.00 in | 0 | 0.37 in | 0.00 in | 0.19 in | 0.19 in | 0.21 in |
| Confidence | high | high | high | medium | medium | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 517 | 1125 | 1538 | 819 | 723 | 1039 | 1027 |
| AIFS | 7 | 11 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 16 |
| GFS | 917 | 1115 | 1935 | 1315 | 810 | 1111 | 1926 |
| ICON | 616 | 921 | 1642 | 1024 | 518 | 1025 | 1127 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | medium |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 4% | 0% | 95% | 31% | 69% | 45% | 82% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 100% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 26% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit below −1.6 °F | A bit above +43% | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit below −1.4 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | 73° / 55° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Normal +0.5 °F | Normal | 73° / 55° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Normal +0.4 °F | Normal | 73° / 55° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | Normal +0.5 °F | Normal |
| December | A bit above +1.1 °F | Normal |
| January | Normal +0.2 °F | Normal |
| February | Normal +0.5 °F | Normal |
| March | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Black Rock climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Black Rock is from December to March: highs of 74 °F to 78 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 78° | 58° | 1.94 in | 5 | 9.1 | 68° | 4.6 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 78° | 59° | 1.79 in | 5 | 8.1 | 69° | 4.6 ft |
| MarchMar | 75° | 56° | 1.46 in | 5 | 7.1 | 68° | 4.9 ft |
| AprilApr | 68° | 51° | 2.16 in | 7 | 5.5 | 64° | 5.0 ft |
| MayMay | 62° | 48° | 2.19 in | 9 | 4.4 | 59° | 5.5 ft |
| JuneJun | 57° | 44° | 2.00 in | 10 | 4.0 | 55° | 5.1 ft |
| JulyJul | 56° | 43° | 1.76 in | 10 | 4.3 | 53° | 5.7 ft |
| AugustAug | 58° | 44° | 1.99 in | 10 | 5.0 | 52° | 5.6 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 62° | 47° | 2.08 in | 10 | 5.9 | 54° | 5.3 ft |
| OctoberOct | 67° | 50° | 2.37 in | 9 | 7.0 | 58° | 5.2 ft |
| NovemberNov | 71° | 53° | 2.35 in | 8 | 7.8 | 62° | 4.7 ft |
| DecemberDec | 74° | 55° | 2.11 in | 7 | 8.8 | 65° | 4.6 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 68° | 4.6 ft |
| Feb | 69° | 4.6 ft |
| Mar | 68° | 4.9 ft |
| Apr | 64° | 5.0 ft |
| May | 59° | 5.5 ft |
| Jun | 55° | 5.1 ft |
| Jul | 53° | 5.7 ft |
| Aug | 52° | 5.6 ft |
| Sep | 54° | 5.3 ft |
| Oct | 58° | 5.2 ft |
| Nov | 62° | 4.7 ft |
| Dec | 65° | 4.6 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 24.22 in of rain on about 93 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 66 °F now (feels like 66 °F). Today, 51 °F to 66 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 78 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 4%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 95% and 0.40 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.03 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 2.16 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 61% now and the dew point is 52 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 7
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.51 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 46 / 64 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph WSW |
| Tue 27 | Overcast | 45 / 60 °F | 0 | 8 mph WSW |
| Mon 26 | Light drizzle | 47 / 60 °F | 0.04 in | 10 mph WSW |
| Sun 25 | Rain | 51 / 65 °F | 1.54 in | 11 mph SSW |
| Sat 24 | Showers | 63 / 73 °F | 0.48 in | 7 mph ESE |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 65 / 86 °F | 0.05 in | 14 mph N |
| Thu 22 | Overcast | 58 / 87 °F | 0 | 10 mph N |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 61 / 79 °F | 0.01 in | 7 mph SW |
| Tue 20 | Overcast | 67 / 82 °F | 0 | 12 mph N |
| Mon 19 | Mainly clear | 56 / 81 °F | 0 | 10 mph NNE |
| Sun 18 | Mainly clear | 53 / 79 °F | 0 | 8 mph N |
| Sat 17 | Overcast | 51 / 77 °F | 0 | 6 mph NE |
| Fri 16 | Overcast | 46 / 74 °F | 0 | 5 mph NE |
| Thu 15 | Overcast | 42 / 69 °F | 0 | 5 mph SSE |
| Wed 14 | Overcast | 48 / 57 °F | 0 | 9 mph SSE |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 48 / 58 °F | 0.01 in | 12 mph SW |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 53 / 70 °F | 0.20 in | 13 mph W |
| Sun 11 | Overcast | 55 / 76 °F | 0 | 13 mph N |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 59 / 72 °F | 0.05 in | 8 mph NW |
| Fri 9 | Overcast | 54 / 79 °F | 0 | 13 mph NNE |
| Thu 8 | Mainly clear | 43 / 72 °F | 0 | 10 mph NNE |
| Wed 7 | Overcast | 49 / 61 °F | 0 | 7 mph S |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 52 / 62 °F | 0.05 in | 12 mph WSW |
| Mon 5 | Overcast | 50 / 64 °F | 0 | 4 mph E |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 50 / 60 °F | 0.01 in | 8 mph SSW |
| Sat 3 | Light rain | 53 / 64 °F | 0.48 in | 11 mph SSE |
| Fri 2 | Light rain | 54 / 62 °F | 0.59 in | 10 mph SSE |
| Thu 1 | Light rain | 55 / 71 °F | 1.11 in | 14 mph NNW |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 64 / 74 °F | 0.03 in | 15 mph N |
| Tue 29 | Overcast | 48 / 73 °F | 0 | 13 mph NNE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Black RockQuestions
What's the weather like today in Black Rock?
Light drizzle, from 51 °F to 66 °F, with a light breeze from the south (5 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Black Rock?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 48 °F and a high of 78 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.24 inHg and falling: +0.12 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Black Rock?
The best time to visit Black Rock is from December to March: highs of 74 °F to 78 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Black Rock in October?
In October, Black Rock normally sees highs of 67 °F and lows of 50 °F, with about 9 rainy days (2.37 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 58 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Black Rock?
The warmest is February, with average highs of 78 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is October (2.37 in) and the driest, March.
More about Black Rock today
Weather near Black Rock
- Balaclava 66 °F · clear sky · 7.4 mi
- Chelsea Heights 65 °F · clear sky · 7.6 mi
- Altona 66 °F · clear sky · 12 mi
- Frankston East 65 °F · clear sky · 13 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:26 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from