Weather in Tumby Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:04 pm (GMT+10:30)

Now · clear sky 66 °F

Feels like: 63 °F
Low / high: 59 / 66 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 9 mph E

↘ 30.12 inHg · falling UV 9 · very high

Today in Tumby Bay: overcast, 59 °F to 66 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the east (9 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 63 °F to 74 °F and a 95% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 74 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

66° 59°
Today
74° 63°
Fri 30
72° 59°
Sat 31
69° 57°
Sun 1
70° 60°
Mon 2
68° 56°
Tue 3
61° 56°
Wed 4
62° 56°
Thu 5
65° 53°
Fri 6
66° 56°
Sat 7
86° 61°
Sun 8
68° 59°
Mon 9
66° 55°
Tue 10
64° 54°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	59 / 66 °F	0%	13 mph E	2.0 ft	3:50 am · 3:54 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light rain	63 / 74 °F	95% · 0.37 in	17 mph N	2.6 ft	4:16 am · 3:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	59 / 72 °F	7%	15 mph W	1.8 ft	4:41 am · 3:05 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	57 / 69 °F	53% · 0.11 in	8 mph ENE	2.3 ft	5:07 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Mainly clear	60 / 70 °F	27%	12 mph SSE	2.5 ft	5:28 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	56 / 68 °F	13% · 0.02 in	8 mph SE	1.7 ft	4:52 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light rain	56 / 61 °F	25% · 0.59 in	19 mph SW	3.8 ft	3:28 am · 12:31 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	56 / 62 °F	2%	14 mph S	3.7 ft	1:37 am · 1:03 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	53 / 65 °F	6%	10 mph ESE	1.4 ft	1:27 am · 1:29 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Clear sky	56 / 66 °F	8%	12 mph E	2.2 ft	1:39 am · 1:55 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	61 / 86 °F	8% · 0.06 in	18 mph NNW	2.8 ft	1:57 am · 2:20 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	59 / 68 °F	12% · 0.45 in	11 mph S	1.8 ft	2:18 am · 2:45 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	55 / 66 °F	8% · 0.04 in	14 mph WSW	2.6 ft	2:41 am · 3:08 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	54 / 64 °F	10%	16 mph SW	2.8 ft	3:05 am · 3:30 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear
Temperature	59°	59°	59°	63°	65°	66°	65°	64°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 ESE	9 E	10 E	12 ENE	13 E	12 E	8 E	8 ENE
Humidity	72%	75%	74%	68%	64%	61%	72%	79%
UV	0	0	0	3	9	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	66°	74°	72°	69°	70°	68°	61°
AIFS	69°	70°	72°	72°	69°	68°	67°
GFS	66°	79°	76°	68°	67°	71°	64°
ICON	67°	75°	74°	66°	74°	67°	73°
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	high	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.37 in	0	0.11 in	0	0.02 in	0.59 in
AIFS	0	0.35 in	0.00 in	0.17 in	0.07 in	0.02 in	0.02 in
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.01 in
ICON	0	0.28 in	0	0.33 in	0	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1324	1730	1524	818	1240	829	1938
AIFS	13	16	17	9	14	15	11
GFS	1523	2332	2129	1325	1517	1226	1828
ICON	1525	2134	1931	1220	1728	1017	1425
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	95%	7%	53%	27%	13%	25%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	74%	14%	31%	17%	0%	17%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.6 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	78° / 59°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	77° / 59°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	77° / 59°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +43%
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Tumby Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tumby Bay is from October to March: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

82° 61°

JanJ
82° 61°

FebF
78° 59°

MarM
74° 54°

AprA
68° 51°

MayM
63° 47°

JunJ
62° 46°

JulJ
63° 46°

AugA
68° 48°

SepS
72° 51°

OctO
76° 55°

NovN
79° 58°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	82°	61°	0.58 in	2	10.9	69°	3.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	82°	61°	0.42 in	1	9.5	70°	3.6 ft
MarchMar	78°	59°	0.64 in	2	8.4	69°	3.6 ft
AprilApr	74°	54°	0.85 in	3	7.4	66°	3.4 ft
MayMay	68°	51°	1.35 in	5	5.7	62°	3.6 ft
JuneJun	63°	47°	1.82 in	8	5.7	60°	3.5 ft
JulyJul	62°	46°	1.78 in	8	5.8	57°	3.8 ft
AugustAug	63°	46°	1.87 in	8	6.9	57°	3.8 ft
SeptemberSep	68°	48°	1.50 in	5	7.7	58°	3.8 ft
OctoberOct	72°	51°	0.94 in	3	8.7	60°	3.6 ft
NovemberNov	76°	55°	0.82 in	3	9.7	63°	3.4 ft
DecemberDec	79°	58°	1.00 in	2	10.2	66°	3.4 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	69°	3.6 ft
Feb	70°	3.6 ft
Mar	69°	3.6 ft
Apr	66°	3.4 ft
May	62°	3.6 ft
Jun	60°	3.5 ft
Jul	57°	3.8 ft
Aug	57°	3.8 ft
Sep	58°	3.8 ft
Oct	60°	3.6 ft
Nov	63°	3.4 ft
Dec	66°	3.4 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 13.58 in of rain on about 50 days and about 2,950 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now66 °Ffeels like 63 °F

Tomorrow63 / 74 °F

It's 66 °F now (feels like 63 °F). Today, 59 °F to 66 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 95% 0.37 in
Sat 31 7%
Sun 1 53% 0.11 in
Mon 2 27%
Tue 3 13% 0.02 in
Wed 4 25% 0.59 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 95% and 0.37 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.03 in; last 7 days, 0.60 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity66%

Dew point54 °F

Humidity is 66% now and the dew point is 54 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds17%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 29.74

Falling now (−0.07 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.15 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Clear sky	55 / 64 °F	0	11 mph SE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	54 / 62 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SSE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	49 / 62 °F	0.07 in	10 mph WSW
Sun 25	Drizzle	51 / 62 °F	0.18 in	13 mph SSW
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	57 / 66 °F	0.33 in	14 mph SSE
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	60 / 69 °F	0	12 mph S
Thu 22	Overcast	56 / 81 °F	0	6 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	58 / 66 °F	0	9 mph SE
Tue 20	Overcast	59 / 64 °F	0	11 mph S
Mon 19	Overcast	62 / 84 °F	0	19 mph N
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	58 / 77 °F	0	14 mph NE
Sat 17	Clear sky	57 / 72 °F	0	10 mph E
Fri 16	Overcast	58 / 71 °F	0	11 mph ENE
Thu 15	Overcast	55 / 65 °F	0	12 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	56 / 61 °F	0.03 in	14 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	55 / 61 °F	0.00 in	10 mph S
Mon 12	Overcast	55 / 62 °F	0	11 mph SW
Sun 11	Overcast	55 / 80 °F	0	17 mph NW
Sat 10	Overcast	55 / 68 °F	0	17 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	57 / 71 °F	0.35 in	17 mph WNW
Thu 8	Overcast	55 / 83 °F	0	14 mph N
Wed 7	Mainly clear	55 / 66 °F	0	11 mph ENE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	55 / 64 °F	0.01 in	11 mph SSW
Mon 5	Light drizzle	51 / 67 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	56 / 60 °F	0.04 in	10 mph ESE
Sat 3	Overcast	55 / 61 °F	0	14 mph SE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	52 / 62 °F	0.04 in	13 mph SSW
Thu 1	Rain	56 / 67 °F	0.45 in	12 mph SW
Wed 30	Light rain	59 / 74 °F	0.41 in	12 mph NNW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	63 / 87 °F	0.01 in	20 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Tumby BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tumby Bay?

Overcast, from 59 °F to 66 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east (9 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tumby Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 95% (0.37 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 56 °F and a high of 74 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.12 inHg and falling: −0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tumby Bay?

The best time to visit Tumby Bay is from October to March: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tumby Bay in October?

In October, Tumby Bay normally sees highs of 72 °F and lows of 51 °F, with about 3 rainy days (0.94 in for the month) and 9 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 60 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tumby Bay?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 82 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 46 °F. The wettest is August (1.87 in) and the driest, February.

More about Tumby Bay today

Weather near Tumby Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:04 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from