Weather in Smoky Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:44 pm (GMT+10:30)

Now · overcast 78 °F

Feels like: 73 °F
Low / high: 53 / 86 °F
Rain: 20%
Wind: 10 mph NNE

→ 29.96 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in Smoky Bay: overcast, 53 °F to 86 °F, with a 20% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 64 °F to 82 °F and a 98% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 98 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 53°
Today
82° 64°
Fri 30
80° 59°
Sat 31
98° 63°
Sun 1
77° 61°
Mon 2
74° 58°
Tue 3
70° 56°
Wed 4
79° 50°
Thu 5
90° 56°
Fri 6
73° 56°
Sat 7
80° 56°
Sun 8
94° 64°
Mon 9
94° 72°
Tue 10
70° 60°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	53 / 86 °F	20%	17 mph NE	3.9 ft	2:19 am · 3:14 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	64 / 82 °F	98% · 0.17 in	21 mph NW	4.2 ft	2:40 am · 3:45 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	59 / 80 °F	1%	11 mph SW	4.1 ft	3:01 am · 11:04 am · 4:17 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	63 / 98 °F	19% · 0.01 in	14 mph NNE	3.0 ft	3:18 am · 11:28 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Clear sky	61 / 77 °F	2%	14 mph SSW	5.1 ft	3:27 am · 11:54 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	58 / 74 °F	4%	12 mph SW	4.7 ft	3:06 am · 12:15 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	56 / 70 °F	12% · 0.01 in	13 mph SSW	6.2 ft	2:06 am · 12:29 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Clear sky	50 / 79 °F	1%	9 mph SE	5.7 ft	12:17 am · 12:25 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	56 / 90 °F	6%	19 mph SE	5.1 ft	12:10 am · 12:08 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	56 / 73 °F	11%	17 mph SSE	5.0 ft	12:30 am · 12:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	56 / 80 °F	6%	14 mph E	4.0 ft	12:54 am · 12:20 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	64 / 94 °F	4%	10 mph ENE	2.6 ft	1:19 am · 12:35 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	72 / 94 °F	12% · 0.03 in	21 mph NNE	2.1 ft	1:45 am · 12:53 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	60 / 70 °F	10% · 0.06 in	20 mph SW	4.2 ft	2:10 am · 1:14 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	58°	55°	53°	68°	81°	86°	82°	76°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	10%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	11 ESE	9 E	9 ENE	11 ENE	15 NE	17 NE	12 NNE	10 NNE
Humidity	65%	64%	69%	47%	27%	21%	28%	34%
UV	0	0	0	3	10	6	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on temperature tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	86°	82°	80°	98°	77°	74°	70°
AIFS	83°	73°	79°	91°	73°	70°	71°
GFS	86°	83°	77°	83°	75°	77°	66°
ICON	86°	81°	81°	92°	72°	73°	71°
Confidence	high	low	high	low	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.17 in	0	0.01 in	0	0	0.01 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.31 in	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0.16 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.04 in	0.43 in	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1733	2138	1121	1432	1439	1228	1342
AIFS	15	19	11	10	15	14	11
GFS	1933	2936	1824	2732	1822	1625	1927
ICON	1832	2443	1225	1832	1426	1221	1525
Confidence	high	medium	medium	low	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	20%	98%	1%	19%	2%	4%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	20%	98%	11%	29%	10%	0%	6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.5 °F	Below −64%	Above +3.1 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	74° / 65°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	73° / 65°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	73° / 65°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F
December	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
February	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Smoky Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Smoky Bay is from October to March: highs of 75 °F to 84 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

84° 61°

JanJ
84° 61°

FebF
81° 58°

MarM
76° 53°

AprA
69° 49°

MayM
64° 45°

JunJ
63° 44°

JulJ
65° 45°

AugA
70° 49°

SepS
75° 52°

OctO
79° 56°

NovN
81° 59°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	84°	61°	0.53 in	1	11.3	66°	3.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	84°	61°	0.57 in	1	10.4	66°	3.4 ft
MarchMar	81°	58°	0.79 in	2	9.2	65°	3.5 ft
AprilApr	76°	53°	0.66 in	2	8.2	64°	3.6 ft
MayMay	69°	49°	1.01 in	4	6.8	63°	3.8 ft
JuneJun	64°	45°	1.52 in	6	6.5	61°	3.7 ft
JulyJul	63°	44°	1.45 in	6	6.7	59°	4.2 ft
AugustAug	65°	45°	1.49 in	5	7.8	58°	4.1 ft
SeptemberSep	70°	49°	1.04 in	4	8.5	60°	4.2 ft
OctoberOct	75°	52°	0.67 in	3	9.4	62°	3.8 ft
NovemberNov	79°	56°	0.69 in	2	10.5	64°	3.5 ft
DecemberDec	81°	59°	0.76 in	2	11.3	65°	3.5 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	66°	3.5 ft
Feb	66°	3.4 ft
Mar	65°	3.5 ft
Apr	64°	3.6 ft
May	63°	3.8 ft
Jun	61°	3.7 ft
Jul	59°	4.2 ft
Aug	58°	4.1 ft
Sep	60°	4.2 ft
Oct	62°	3.8 ft
Nov	64°	3.5 ft
Dec	65°	3.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 11.18 in of rain on about 37 days and about 3,250 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 73 °F

Tomorrow64 / 82 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 73 °F). Today, 53 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 64 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 20%
Fri 30 98% 0.17 in
Sat 31 1%
Sun 1 19% 0.01 in
Mon 2 2%
Tue 3 4%
Wed 4 12% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 20%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 98% and 0.17 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.07 in; last 7 days, 0.39 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity32%

Dew point46 °F

Humidity is 32% now and the dew point is 46 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds90%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 11

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 29.77

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 17

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	53 / 73 °F	0.05 in	12 mph SE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	55 / 67 °F	0.02 in	10 mph SE
Mon 26	Overcast	46 / 69 °F	0	8 mph SSE
Sun 25	Drizzle	51 / 64 °F	0.11 in	16 mph SSW
Sat 24	Drizzle	58 / 70 °F	0.21 in	16 mph SSE
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	62 / 80 °F	0	13 mph S
Thu 22	Overcast	59 / 92 °F	0	9 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	51 / 82 °F	0	8 mph SE
Tue 20	Overcast	58 / 73 °F	0	10 mph SSW
Mon 19	Drizzle	61 / 83 °F	0.14 in	21 mph NW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	66 / 93 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NE
Sat 17	Clear sky	61 / 90 °F	0	12 mph ENE
Fri 16	Overcast	65 / 85 °F	0	15 mph ENE
Thu 15	Overcast	48 / 79 °F	0	11 mph ENE
Wed 14	Overcast	49 / 73 °F	0	11 mph SE
Tue 13	Overcast	54 / 68 °F	0	15 mph SSE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	56 / 64 °F	0.02 in	11 mph S
Sun 11	Light drizzle	61 / 85 °F	0.02 in	14 mph N
Sat 10	Clear sky	51 / 78 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	58 / 73 °F	0.23 in	23 mph W
Thu 8	Drizzle	60 / 93 °F	0.04 in	20 mph N
Wed 7	Clear sky	46 / 82 °F	0	7 mph SE
Tue 6	Overcast	51 / 70 °F	0	11 mph SW
Mon 5	Overcast	53 / 72 °F	0	9 mph SW
Sun 4	Drizzle	56 / 67 °F	0.12 in	8 mph E
Sat 3	Overcast	47 / 71 °F	0	10 mph SE
Fri 2	Overcast	54 / 66 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Thu 1	Rain	58 / 69 °F	0.80 in	12 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light rain	62 / 74 °F	0.49 in	9 mph NNW
Tue 29	Overcast	63 / 85 °F	0	19 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Smoky BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Smoky Bay?

Overcast, from 53 °F to 86 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph) and a 20% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Smoky Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 98% (0.17 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 53 °F and a high of 98 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and steady: −0.22 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Smoky Bay?

The best time to visit Smoky Bay is from October to March: highs of 75 °F to 84 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Smoky Bay in October?

In October, Smoky Bay normally sees highs of 75 °F and lows of 52 °F, with about 3 rainy days (0.67 in for the month) and 9 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 62 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Smoky Bay?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 84 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 44 °F. The wettest is June (1.52 in) and the driest, January.

More about Smoky Bay today

Weather near Smoky Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:44 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from