Weather in Bay of Shoals

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:36 am (GMT+10:30)

Now · overcast 62 °F

Feels like: 61 °F
Low / high: 51 / 69 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 5 mph ENE

→ 30.33 inHg · steady UV 8 · very high

Today in Bay of Shoals: overcast, 51 °F to 69 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 56 °F to 71 °F and a 98% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 71 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

69° 51°
Today
71° 56°
Fri 30
71° 55°
Sat 31
67° 51°
Sun 1
69° 56°
Mon 2
68° 52°
Tue 3
61° 50°
Wed 4
59° 51°
Thu 5
65° 48°
Fri 6
67° 46°
Sat 7
79° 53°
Sun 8
67° 59°
Mon 9
66° 51°
Tue 10
62° 48°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	51 / 69 °F	0%	7 mph E	1.8 ft	6:04 am · 6:42 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	56 / 71 °F	98% · 0.24 in	15 mph N	3.1 ft	6:25 am · 6:53 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	55 / 71 °F	19% · 0.01 in	16 mph W	4.5 ft	6:48 am · 7:00 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	51 / 67 °F	38% · 0.14 in	9 mph NNE	3.2 ft	7:12 am · 7:13 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	56 / 69 °F	38% · 0.04 in	15 mph S	3.0 ft	7:38 am · 7:36 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light rain	52 / 68 °F	44% · 0.26 in	8 mph SW	4.1 ft	8:03 am · 8:14 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	50 / 61 °F	24% · 0.28 in	20 mph SW	4.5 ft	8:17 am · 2:14 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	51 / 59 °F	11%	11 mph SSW	5.1 ft	3:58 am · 3:27 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	48 / 65 °F	24%	6 mph W	5.0 ft	4:01 am · 4:12 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	46 / 67 °F	24%	13 mph SSE	3.4 ft	4:15 am · 4:45 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	53 / 79 °F	12% · 0.02 in	18 mph NNE	3.3 ft	4:30 am · 5:09 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	59 / 67 °F	8% · 0.08 in	10 mph WSW	3.1 ft	4:45 am · 5:28 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	51 / 66 °F	14% · 0.04 in	14 mph SW	5.7 ft	5:01 am · 5:46 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	48 / 62 °F	12% · 0.02 in	18 mph SW	5.4 ft	5:20 am · 6:05 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	52°	51°	53°	61°	67°	69°	64°	57°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 S	2 SSE	1 E	4 ENE	7 E	7 ENE	7 E	6 ESE
Humidity	87%	92%	91%	73%	63%	61%	72%	86%
UV	0	0	0	2	7	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	69°	71°	71°	67°	69°	68°	61°
AIFS	66°	70°	68°	70°	70°	68°	62°
GFS	66°	70°	77°	75°	61°	69°	64°
ICON	68°	68°	71°	67°	71°	69°	64°
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	low	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.24 in	0.01 in	0.14 in	0.04 in	0.26 in	0.28 in
AIFS	0	0.22 in	0.02 in	0.12 in	0.04 in	0.03 in	0.06 in
GFS	0	0.00 in	0	0.00 in	0.71 in	0	0.01 in
ICON	0	0.44 in	0.01 in	0.65 in	0	0.00 in	0.15 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	low	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	717	1527	1626	924	1537	833	2038
AIFS	11	16	15	9	14	12	20
GFS	1116	2131	1832	1321	1117	1322	2132
ICON	1019	1834	1735	1323	1528	1629	1834
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	98%	19%	38%	38%	44%	24%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	31%	5%	29%	19%	6%	20%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	66° / 61°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	66° / 61°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	65° / 61°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Bay of Shoals climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Bay of Shoals is from November to March: highs of 71 °F to 77 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

77° 60°

JanJ
77° 61°

FebF
73° 59°

MarM
69° 55°

AprA
64° 52°

MayM
60° 49°

JunJ
59° 47°

JulJ
60° 48°

AugA
63° 49°

SepS
67° 52°

OctO
71° 55°

NovN
74° 58°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	77°	60°	0.63 in	2	10.7	67°	2.7 ft
FebruaryFeb	77°	61°	0.50 in	1	9.6	68°	2.6 ft
MarchMar	73°	59°	0.69 in	2	8.3	67°	2.7 ft
AprilApr	69°	55°	1.24 in	3	6.8	65°	2.6 ft
MayMay	64°	52°	1.90 in	6	5.2	62°	3.1 ft
JuneJun	60°	49°	2.75 in	9	5.0	60°	3.1 ft
JulyJul	59°	47°	2.56 in	9	5.3	58°	3.5 ft
AugustAug	60°	48°	2.37 in	8	6.1	57°	3.4 ft
SeptemberSep	63°	49°	2.02 in	6	7.2	58°	3.3 ft
OctoberOct	67°	52°	1.37 in	4	8.3	59°	2.9 ft
NovemberNov	71°	55°	0.85 in	3	9.3	62°	2.7 ft
DecemberDec	74°	58°	0.77 in	2	9.9	64°	2.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	67°	2.7 ft
Feb	68°	2.6 ft
Mar	67°	2.7 ft
Apr	65°	2.6 ft
May	62°	3.1 ft
Jun	60°	3.1 ft
Jul	58°	3.5 ft
Aug	57°	3.4 ft
Sep	58°	3.3 ft
Oct	59°	2.9 ft
Nov	62°	2.7 ft
Dec	64°	2.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 17.66 in of rain on about 55 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now62 °Ffeels like 61 °F

Tomorrow56 / 71 °F

It's 62 °F now (feels like 61 °F). Today, 51 °F to 69 °F; tomorrow, 56 °F to 71 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 98% 0.24 in
Sat 31 19% 0.01 in
Sun 1 38% 0.14 in
Mon 2 38% 0.04 in
Tue 3 44% 0.26 in
Wed 4 24% 0.28 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 98% and 0.24 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.33 in; last 7 days, 0.99 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity69%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 69% now and the dew point is 52 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 29.74

Steady now (+0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.42 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	42 / 64 °F	0.01 in	6 mph SW
Tue 27	Drizzle	41 / 62 °F	0.08 in	7 mph SW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	46 / 60 °F	0.24 in	7 mph WSW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	47 / 60 °F	0.15 in	12 mph SSW
Sat 24	Light rain	53 / 63 °F	0.50 in	10 mph SSE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	55 / 70 °F	0.01 in	12 mph SSW
Thu 22	Overcast	52 / 85 °F	0	12 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Mainly clear	49 / 69 °F	0	11 mph SE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	53 / 69 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SSW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	64 / 77 °F	0.04 in	16 mph N
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	59 / 81 °F	0	12 mph NE
Sat 17	Clear sky	54 / 77 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Fri 16	Overcast	50 / 76 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Thu 15	Overcast	48 / 66 °F	0	9 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	48 / 59 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SE
Tue 13	Overcast	49 / 62 °F	0	12 mph S
Mon 12	Overcast	48 / 62 °F	0	13 mph SW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	53 / 76 °F	0.01 in	15 mph NNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	54 / 66 °F	0.01 in	21 mph WNW
Fri 9	Light rain	55 / 67 °F	0.38 in	18 mph NW
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	51 / 78 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Wed 7	Clear sky	46 / 65 °F	0	12 mph ENE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	49 / 63 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SW
Mon 5	Overcast	48 / 66 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	51 / 59 °F	0.02 in	10 mph SE
Sat 3	Overcast	49 / 61 °F	0	16 mph SSE
Fri 2	Light rain	52 / 60 °F	0.61 in	10 mph S
Thu 1	Light rain	54 / 67 °F	0.36 in	9 mph SSW
Wed 30	Drizzle	59 / 72 °F	0.30 in	15 mph NW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	61 / 80 °F	0.01 in	15 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Bay of ShoalsQuestions

What's the weather like today in Bay of Shoals?

Overcast, from 51 °F to 69 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Bay of Shoals?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 98% (0.24 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 50 °F and a high of 71 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.33 inHg and steady: +0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Bay of Shoals?

The best time to visit Bay of Shoals is from November to March: highs of 71 °F to 77 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Bay of Shoals in October?

In October, Bay of Shoals normally sees highs of 67 °F and lows of 52 °F, with about 4 rainy days (1.37 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 59 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Bay of Shoals?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 77 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 47 °F. The wettest is June (2.75 in) and the driest, February.

More about Bay of Shoals today

Weather near Bay of Shoals

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:36 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from