Weather in Tin Can Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 11:14 am (GMT+10)

Now · clear sky 79 °F

Feels like: 80 °F
Low / high: 58 / 79 °F
Rain: 11%
Wind: 11 mph SE

→ 30.16 inHg · steady UV 12 · extreme

Today in Tin Can Bay: overcast, 58 °F to 79 °F, with a 11% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southeast (11 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 63 °F to 78 °F and a 22% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 88 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (80%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

79° 58°
Today
78° 63°
Fri 30
79° 64°
Sat 31
82° 61°
Sun 1
88° 64°
Mon 2
86° 65°
Tue 3
87° 68°
Wed 4
85° 69°
Thu 5
86° 65°
Fri 6
82° 64°
Sat 7
84° 65°
Sun 8
80° 66°
Mon 9
79° 64°
Tue 10
80° 60°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	58 / 79 °F	11%	11 mph SE	2.4 ft	12:03 pm · 11:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	63 / 78 °F	22%	9 mph ESE	2.6 ft	1:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	64 / 79 °F	24%	7 mph ENE	2.7 ft	12:51 am · 2:09 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	61 / 82 °F	18%	8 mph N	2.3 ft	2:14 am · 3:19 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	64 / 88 °F	80% · 0.04 in	6 mph WNW	2.1 ft	3:40 am · 4:31 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Showers	65 / 86 °F	64% · 0.43 in	9 mph N	2.1 ft	5:08 am · 5:35 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	68 / 87 °F	82% · 0.09 in	11 mph NNW	2.2 ft	6:29 am · 6:28 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Thunderstorm	69 / 85 °F	49% · 0.12 in	13 mph NW	2.4 ft	7:25 am · 7:10 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	65 / 86 °F	43%	5 mph WNW	1.9 ft	8:04 am · 7:45 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Clear sky	64 / 82 °F	47%	8 mph ENE	3.3 ft	8:37 am · 8:18 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Heavy drizzle	65 / 84 °F	57% · 0.25 in	4 mph ESE	3.2 ft	9:10 am · 8:51 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	66 / 80 °F	51% · 0.37 in	10 mph SE	4.7 ft	9:44 am · 9:25 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	64 / 79 °F	35% · 0.04 in	11 mph SE	5.6 ft	10:20 am · 10:00 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Mainly clear	60 / 80 °F	31%	8 mph E	5.5 ft	10:58 am · 10:36 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Overcast
Temperature	62°	58°	65°	76°	79°	76°	69°	66°
Chance of rain	11%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 WSW	5 SW	4 SSW	8 SSE	11 SE	9 ESE	6 ESE	5 ESE
Humidity	94%	94%	73%	46%	44%	55%	76%	82%
UV	0	0	0	8	12	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	79°	78°	79°	82°	88°	86°	87°
AIFS	77°	75°	75°	80°	80°	79°	82°
GFS	78°	76°	76°	83°	94°	85°	92°
ICON	76°	74°	74°	80°	84°	81°	84°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	low	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.43 in	0.09 in
AIFS	0	0	0.05 in	0.13 in	0.09 in	0.11 in	0.42 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.14 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.34 in	0.13 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1127	922	719	821	623	920	1129
AIFS	10	8	6	8	9	7	12
GFS	1117	913	813	1224	1321	1127	1125
ICON	1224	1121	713	918	1021	1224	1429
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	11%	22%	24%	18%	80%	64%	82%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	7%	0%	23%	40%	40%	60%	45%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit above +25%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	83° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +23%	85° / 67°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +21%	85° / 69°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −24%
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −21%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Tin Can Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tin Can Bay is from July to November: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Tin Can Bay: 2 within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), most recently Alfred, in March 2025.

86° 71°

JanJ
85° 71°

FebF
83° 69°

MarM
80° 63°

AprA
76° 57°

MayM
72° 52°

JunJ
71° 49°

JulJ
74° 49°

AugA
78° 55°

SepS
80° 60°

OctO
83° 65°

NovN
84° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	86°	71°	7.11 in	11	8.1	79°	5.2 ft
FebruaryFeb	85°	71°	9.13 in	12	7.2	80°	6.1 ft
MarchMar	83°	69°	5.72 in	13	7.0	79°	5.9 ft
AprilApr	80°	63°	4.65 in	10	6.7	77°	5.7 ft
MayMay	76°	57°	4.07 in	10	6.7	75°	5.2 ft
JuneJun	72°	52°	3.96 in	8	6.3	72°	5.6 ft
JulyJul	71°	49°	1.94 in	5	7.2	70°	4.9 ft
AugustAug	74°	49°	2.19 in	4	7.9	70°	4.5 ft
SeptemberSep	78°	55°	1.83 in	4	8.9	71°	4.5 ft
OctoberOct	80°	60°	3.14 in	6	8.2	73°	4.6 ft
NovemberNov	83°	65°	2.84 in	7	8.9	75°	4.3 ft
DecemberDec	84°	68°	5.28 in	11	8.6	77°	5.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	79°	5.2 ft
Feb	80°	6.1 ft
Mar	79°	5.9 ft
Apr	77°	5.7 ft
May	75°	5.2 ft
Jun	72°	5.6 ft
Jul	70°	4.9 ft
Aug	70°	4.5 ft
Sep	71°	4.5 ft
Oct	73°	4.6 ft
Nov	75°	4.3 ft
Dec	77°	5.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 51.85 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 80 °F

Tomorrow63 / 78 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 80 °F). Today, 58 °F to 79 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 78 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 11%
Fri 30 22%
Sat 31 24%
Sun 1 18%
Mon 2 80% 0.04 in
Tue 3 64% 0.43 in
Wed 4 82% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 11%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 80% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.21 in; last 3 days, 1.67 in; last 7 days, 6.11 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity42%

Dew point54 °F

Humidity is 42% now and the dew point is 54 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds1%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now12

Today's peak12extreme

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.20 30.25

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Heavy rain	62 / 89 °F	1.22 in	8 mph WSW
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	69 / 87 °F	0.32 in	8 mph ESE
Mon 26	Drizzle	69 / 88 °F	0.15 in	10 mph NNW
Sun 25	Showers	67 / 78 °F	1.11 in	9 mph N
Sat 24	Light rain	65 / 71 °F	1.41 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 23	Rain	64 / 74 °F	1.12 in	8 mph NE
Thu 22	Showers	64 / 70 °F	1.46 in	9 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	63 / 76 °F	0.32 in	8 mph ENE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	62 / 78 °F	0.05 in	8 mph E
Mon 19	Light rain	62 / 66 °F	0.63 in	6 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	63 / 74 °F	0.07 in	11 mph ESE
Sat 17	Drizzle	60 / 72 °F	0.14 in	12 mph ESE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	61 / 69 °F	0.07 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	63 / 73 °F	0.10 in	12 mph ESE
Wed 14	Drizzle	65 / 78 °F	0.32 in	11 mph SE
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	68 / 89 °F	0.18 in	9 mph NNW
Mon 12	Light showers	67 / 84 °F	0.24 in	8 mph NNE
Sun 11	Drizzle	67 / 84 °F	0.19 in	8 mph NNE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	61 / 82 °F	0.09 in	8 mph NNW
Fri 9	Light drizzle	59 / 78 °F	0.02 in	8 mph NNE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	61 / 73 °F	0.09 in	9 mph ESE
Wed 7	Showers	64 / 82 °F	0.59 in	9 mph S
Tue 6	Light rain	61 / 79 °F	0.21 in	8 mph NNW
Mon 5	Overcast	59 / 81 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Sun 4	Overcast	59 / 80 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Sat 3	Overcast	55 / 78 °F	0	7 mph E
Fri 2	Mainly clear	55 / 76 °F	0	8 mph ESE
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	55 / 76 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Wed 30	Overcast	55 / 73 °F	0	9 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	60 / 71 °F	0.05 in	13 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Tin Can BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tin Can Bay?

Overcast, from 58 °F to 79 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southeast (11 mph) and a 11% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tin Can Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 22% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 58 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.16 inHg and steady: +0.17 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tin Can Bay?

The best time to visit Tin Can Bay is from July to November: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tin Can Bay in October?

In October, Tin Can Bay normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 60 °F, with about 6 rainy days (3.14 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 73 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tin Can Bay?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 49 °F. The wettest is February (9.13 in) and the driest, September.

More about Tin Can Bay today

Weather near Tin Can Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:14 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from