Weather in Elliott Heads

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 11:08 am (GMT+10)

Now · clear sky 79 °F

Feels like: 79 °F
Low / high: 66 / 79 °F
Rain: 46%
Wind: 11 mph ESE

→ 30.13 inHg · steady UV 12 · extreme

Today in Elliott Heads: overcast, 66 °F to 79 °F, with a 46% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (11 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 69 °F to 77 °F and a 6% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (55%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

79° 66°
Today
77° 69°
Fri 30
77° 70°
Sat 31
78° 70°
Sun 1
82° 69°
Mon 2
81° 71°
Tue 3
82° 70°
Wed 4
84° 73°
Thu 5
83° 71°
Fri 6
80° 70°
Sat 7
79° 72°
Sun 8
78° 68°
Mon 9
78° 68°
Tue 10
78° 68°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	66 / 79 °F	46%	16 mph ESE	2.2 ft	10:29 am · 10:41 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	69 / 77 °F	6% · 0.01 in	11 mph E	2.2 ft	11:25 am · 11:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	70 / 77 °F	8%	10 mph ENE	2.1 ft	12:28 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	70 / 78 °F	4%	11 mph NNE	1.7 ft	12:50 am · 1:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	29% · 0.01 in	13 mph NNW	1.9 ft	2:20 am · 2:54 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Showers	71 / 81 °F	55% · 0.41 in	16 mph NNW	2.6 ft	3:51 am · 4:02 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	70 / 82 °F	57%	16 mph NNW	3.2 ft	4:55 am · 4:58 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	47% · 0.12 in	14 mph NNW	3.3 ft	5:44 am · 5:45 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	71 / 83 °F	24%	11 mph NW	2.4 ft	6:26 am · 6:27 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	29% · 0.15 in	9 mph ENE	1.6 ft	7:04 am · 7:06 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	72 / 79 °F	35% · 0.20 in	7 mph NE	1.4 ft	7:40 am · 7:43 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	68 / 78 °F	41% · 0.21 in	13 mph SE	3.3 ft	8:15 am · 8:19 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	68 / 78 °F	25% · 0.06 in	15 mph SE	3.7 ft	8:49 am · 8:54 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Partly cloudy	68 / 78 °F	22%	10 mph E	3.5 ft	9:23 am · 9:30 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	67°	67°	67°	76°	79°	77°	73°	71°
Chance of rain	46%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 SSW	6 SW	7 SSW	6 SE	14 E	16 ESE	12 ESE	10 E
Humidity	93%	90%	67%	42%	43%	54%	67%	74%
UV	0	0	0	7	12	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	79°	77°	77°	78°	82°	81°	82°
AIFS	78°	75°	75°	78°	81°	78°	80°
GFS	77°	75°	75°	78°	83°	79°	84°
ICON	78°	76°	76°	78°	80°	80°	82°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.01 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.41 in	0
AIFS	0	0.03 in	0.09 in	0.06 in	0.09 in	0.10 in	0.40 in
GFS	0	0	0.04 in	0.04 in	0	0.35 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in	0.17 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1635	1124	1021	1123	1326	1625	1634
AIFS	14	11	7	10	9	10	15
GFS	1321	1117	914	1222	1521	1427	1628
ICON	1323	1222	917	1119	1425	1729	1833
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	46%	6%	8%	4%	29%	55%	57%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	20%	0%	10%	30%	30%	36%	40%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −37%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +38%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	78° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	79° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +28%	A bit above +0.9 °F	79° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
December	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F
February	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F
March	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Elliott Heads climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Elliott Heads is from July to November: highs of 73 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Elliott Heads: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), Marcia, in February 2015.

87° 72°

JanJ
87° 72°

FebF
86° 70°

MarM
82° 65°

AprA
77° 60°

MayM
73° 55°

JunJ
73° 53°

JulJ
75° 54°

AugA
79° 59°

SepS
81° 64°

OctO
84° 68°

NovN
86° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	87°	72°	6.23 in	11	8.3	81°	4.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	87°	72°	7.07 in	11	7.3	81°	4.5 ft
MarchMar	86°	70°	4.28 in	11	7.5	80°	4.5 ft
AprilApr	82°	65°	2.13 in	7	7.1	77°	4.2 ft
MayMay	77°	60°	2.74 in	8	6.9	73°	3.8 ft
JuneJun	73°	55°	2.20 in	6	6.6	70°	3.6 ft
JulyJul	73°	53°	1.31 in	4	7.6	67°	3.2 ft
AugustAug	75°	54°	1.44 in	4	8.3	67°	2.9 ft
SeptemberSep	79°	59°	1.38 in	4	9.1	70°	3.2 ft
OctoberOct	81°	64°	3.08 in	6	8.6	73°	3.4 ft
NovemberNov	84°	68°	2.43 in	8	9.0	77°	3.3 ft
DecemberDec	86°	71°	5.13 in	11	8.6	79°	4.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	81°	4.1 ft
Feb	81°	4.5 ft
Mar	80°	4.5 ft
Apr	77°	4.2 ft
May	73°	3.8 ft
Jun	70°	3.6 ft
Jul	67°	3.2 ft
Aug	67°	2.9 ft
Sep	70°	3.2 ft
Oct	73°	3.4 ft
Nov	77°	3.3 ft
Dec	79°	4.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 39.39 in of rain on about 91 days and about 2,900 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 79 °F

Tomorrow69 / 77 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 79 °F). Today, 66 °F to 79 °F; tomorrow, 69 °F to 77 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 46%
Fri 30 6% 0.01 in
Sat 31 8%
Sun 1 4%
Mon 2 29% 0.01 in
Tue 3 55% 0.41 in
Wed 4 57%

Today the chance of rain reaches 46%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 55% and 0.41 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.91 in; last 3 days, 1.64 in; last 7 days, 3.74 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity40%

Dew point53 °F

Humidity is 40% now and the dew point is 53 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now12

Today's peak12extreme

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 11

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.20 30.24

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 29

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light showers	69 / 82 °F	1.05 in	11 mph NNW
Tue 27	Light showers	71 / 85 °F	0.52 in	11 mph NNW
Mon 26	Drizzle	72 / 82 °F	0.13 in	13 mph NNW
Sun 25	Light showers	69 / 78 °F	0.57 in	15 mph N
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	69 / 72 °F	0.81 in	12 mph NNE
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	66 / 74 °F	0.51 in	14 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light rain	68 / 75 °F	0.43 in	15 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	68 / 75 °F	0.17 in	11 mph NE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	66 / 74 °F	0.12 in	10 mph E
Mon 19	Drizzle	65 / 74 °F	0.23 in	10 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	68 / 73 °F	0.04 in	15 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	64 / 73 °F	0.16 in	16 mph ESE
Fri 16	Drizzle	67 / 70 °F	0.15 in	15 mph ESE
Thu 15	Drizzle	65 / 74 °F	0.17 in	17 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light rain	70 / 83 °F	0.39 in	16 mph SE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.10 in	13 mph N
Mon 12	Light drizzle	71 / 79 °F	0.02 in	12 mph NNE
Sun 11	Overcast	70 / 78 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Sat 10	Overcast	69 / 79 °F	0	11 mph N
Fri 9	Mainly clear	66 / 76 °F	0	11 mph NE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	65 / 75 °F	0.08 in	15 mph ESE
Wed 7	Light showers	66 / 81 °F	0.59 in	12 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	68 / 78 °F	0.01 in	11 mph N
Mon 5	Light drizzle	68 / 77 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NE
Sun 4	Mainly clear	66 / 77 °F	0	9 mph E
Sat 3	Partly cloudy	58 / 76 °F	0	10 mph ESE
Fri 2	Mainly clear	61 / 74 °F	0	10 mph ESE
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	59 / 73 °F	0	11 mph SE
Wed 30	Mainly clear	61 / 72 °F	0	12 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	64 / 70 °F	0.14 in	16 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Elliott HeadsQuestions

What's the weather like today in Elliott Heads?

Overcast, from 66 °F to 79 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (11 mph) and a 46% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Elliott Heads?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 6% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 66 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.13 inHg and steady: +0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Elliott Heads?

The best time to visit Elliott Heads is from July to November: highs of 73 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Elliott Heads in October?

In October, Elliott Heads normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 6 rainy days (3.08 in for the month) and 9 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 73 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Elliott Heads?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 53 °F. The wettest is February (7.07 in) and the driest, July.

More about Elliott Heads today

Weather near Elliott Heads

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:08 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from