Weather in Blacks Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:01 pm (GMT+10)

Now · light drizzle 75 °F

Feels like: 81 °F
Low / high: 72 / 86 °F
Rain: 91% · 0.23 in
Wind: 6 mph ESE

↗ 30.12 inHg · rising UV 9 · very high

Today in Blacks Beach: drizzle, 72 °F to 86 °F, with a 91% chance of rain (0.23 in) and a light breeze from the east-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, heavy rain, 71 °F to 78 °F and a 99% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 86 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Mackay (YBMK), 8.0 mi away · 31 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature77 °F

Wind14 mph from the east-southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 72°
Today
78° 71°
Fri 30
80° 70°
Sat 31
83° 71°
Sun 1
83° 72°
Mon 2
84° 72°
Tue 3
85° 70°
Wed 4
86° 73°
Thu 5
87° 71°
Fri 6
85° 72°
Sat 7
86° 69°
Sun 8
85° 73°
Mon 9
80° 70°
Tue 10
80° 71°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	72 / 86 °F	91% · 0.23 in	9 mph ESE	1.4 ft	12:16 am · 12:53 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy rain	71 / 78 °F	99% · 1.41 in	9 mph ESE	3.0 ft	1:08 am · 1:51 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Heavy rain	70 / 80 °F	92% · 1.09 in	10 mph ESE	2.5 ft	2:14 am · 3:03 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	28% · 0.04 in	7 mph NE	1.2 ft	3:47 am · 4:31 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	35% · 0.07 in	8 mph NNE	0.8 ft	5:35 am · 5:50 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	72 / 84 °F	16% · 0.07 in	10 mph N	1.4 ft	6:43 am · 6:50 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	70 / 85 °F	14% · 0.06 in	11 mph NNW	2.0 ft	7:34 am · 7:39 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	73 / 86 °F	37% · 0.05 in	7 mph N	2.0 ft	8:17 am · 8:22 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	57% · 0.02 in	6 mph NNE	1.8 ft	8:55 am · 9:01 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	72 / 85 °F	38%	7 mph NE	1.3 ft	9:32 am · 9:37 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	69 / 86 °F	36%	8 mph NNE	1.2 ft	10:06 am · 10:12 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	73 / 85 °F	47% · 0.03 in	9 mph E	2.8 ft	10:39 am · 10:45 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light rain	70 / 80 °F	43% · 0.80 in	12 mph ESE	5.2 ft	11:11 am · 11:18 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	71 / 80 °F	41% · 0.22 in	13 mph ESE	5.0 ft	11:43 am · 11:52 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Overcast	Light drizzle
Temperature	74°	72°	74°	84°	84°	80°	77°	75°
Chance of rain	60%	73%	31%	62%	90%	91%	82%	71%
Rain	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	6 SSW	3 SSW	2 SSW	3 E	8 E	9 E	8 ESE	6 ESE
Humidity	95%	98%	100%	68%	62%	74%	83%	92%
UV	0	0	0	4	8	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	86°	78°	80°	83°	83°	84°	85°
AIFS	82°	78°	79°	82°	83°	83°	84°
GFS	87°	83°	80°	84°	86°	87°	94°
ICON	84°	78°	81°	85°	86°	87°	91°
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.23 in	1.41 in	1.09 in	0.04 in	0.07 in	0.07 in	0.06 in
AIFS	0.20 in	0.65 in	0.33 in	0.05 in	0.07 in	0.03 in	0.09 in
GFS	0.06 in	0.26 in	0.19 in	0	0	0.51 in	0
ICON	0.06 in	0.08 in	0	0	0	0	0.05 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	923	920	1023	719	823	1022	1128
AIFS	11	11	9	8	8	11	11
GFS	1113	1120	918	910	1220	1827	1314
ICON	1020	1324	919	919	1123	1532	1427
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	91%	99%	92%	28%	35%	16%	14%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	56%	87%	56%	11%	6%	19%	13%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −49%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +39%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −20%	A bit above +1.4 °F	79° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	80° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	81° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	—
December	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	—
January	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	—
February	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	—
March	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Blacks Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Blacks Beach is from July to October: highs of 72 °F to 83 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Blacks Beach, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debbie, in March 2017.

87° 75°

JanJ
87° 75°

FebF
85° 73°

MarM
82° 69°

AprA
77° 64°

MayM
74° 59°

JunJ
72° 56°

JulJ
74° 58°

AugA
79° 63°

SepS
83° 68°

OctO
86° 71°

NovN
88° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	87°	75°	13.19 in	14	7.4	83°	2.2 ft	2
FebruaryFeb	87°	75°	13.39 in	15	7.1	83°	2.3 ft	1
MarchMar	85°	73°	10.22 in	10	7.6	82°	2.5 ft	4
AprilApr	82°	69°	3.63 in	7	8.0	79°	2.6 ft	1
MayMay	77°	64°	2.91 in	5	7.6	76°	2.4 ft	–
JuneJun	74°	59°	1.72 in	4	7.2	72°	2.2 ft	–
JulyJul	72°	56°	1.46 in	2	8.2	70°	2.0 ft	–
AugustAug	74°	58°	1.38 in	2	8.8	70°	1.7 ft	–
SeptemberSep	79°	63°	0.72 in	2	9.7	73°	1.8 ft	–
OctoberOct	83°	68°	2.02 in	4	9.2	76°	1.9 ft	–
NovemberNov	86°	71°	3.80 in	7	9.0	79°	1.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	88°	74°	6.29 in	10	8.7	82°	2.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	2.2 ft	2
Feb	83°	2.3 ft	1
Mar	82°	2.5 ft	4
Apr	79°	2.6 ft	1
May	76°	2.4 ft	–
Jun	72°	2.2 ft	–
Jul	70°	2.0 ft	–
Aug	70°	1.7 ft	–
Sep	73°	1.8 ft	–
Oct	76°	1.9 ft	–
Nov	79°	1.9 ft	–
Dec	82°	2.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 60.74 in of rain on about 82 days and about 3,000 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 81 °F

Tomorrow71 / 78 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 81 °F). Today, 72 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 78 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 91% 0.23 in
Fri 30 99% 1.41 in
Sat 31 92% 1.09 in
Sun 1 28% 0.04 in
Mon 2 35% 0.07 in
Tue 3 16% 0.07 in
Wed 4 14% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 91%, with 0.23 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 99% and 1.41 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.20 in; last 3 days, 0.31 in; last 7 days, 1.44 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood

Clouds98%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.02

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.03 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 22

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.06 in	10 mph N
Tue 27	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.06 in	9 mph N
Mon 26	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	0.02 in	9 mph N
Sun 25	Light drizzle	70 / 85 °F	0.12 in	10 mph NNE
Sat 24	Light showers	71 / 77 °F	0.70 in	12 mph N
Fri 23	Drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.28 in	11 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.12 in	9 mph E
Tue 20	Light drizzle	68 / 82 °F	0.05 in	11 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	67 / 78 °F	0.15 in	12 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light rain	67 / 70 °F	1.08 in	10 mph ESE
Sat 17	Drizzle	67 / 75 °F	0.17 in	13 mph ESE
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	68 / 78 °F	0.26 in	12 mph ESE
Thu 15	Light rain	69 / 83 °F	0.39 in	12 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	69 / 85 °F	0.01 in	9 mph N
Tue 13	Light drizzle	69 / 83 °F	0.07 in	9 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	0.05 in	10 mph ESE
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	67 / 84 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Sat 10	Overcast	66 / 83 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	65 / 81 °F	0.01 in	9 mph E
Thu 8	Light drizzle	64 / 82 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ESE
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	62 / 82 °F	0	8 mph SE
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	62 / 82 °F	0	8 mph ESE
Mon 5	Partly cloudy	60 / 82 °F	0	9 mph SE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	59 / 80 °F	0.01 in	10 mph SE
Sat 3	Partly cloudy	60 / 80 °F	0	12 mph SE
Fri 2	Overcast	63 / 78 °F	0	13 mph SE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	64 / 76 °F	0.01 in	12 mph SE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	65 / 76 °F	0.08 in	14 mph ESE
Tue 29	Partly cloudy	63 / 79 °F	0	12 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Blacks BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Blacks Beach?

Drizzle, from 72 °F to 86 °F, with a light breeze from the east-southeast (6 mph) and a 91% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Blacks Beach?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 99% (1.41 in): heavy rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.12 inHg and rising: +0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Blacks Beach?

The best time to visit Blacks Beach is from July to October: highs of 72 °F to 83 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Blacks Beach in October?

In October, Blacks Beach normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 4 rainy days (2.02 in for the month) and 9 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 76 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Blacks Beach?

The warmest is December, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 56 °F. The wettest is February (13.39 in) and the driest, September.

When is cyclone season in Blacks Beach?

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Blacks Beach, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Debbie, in March 2017.

More about Blacks Beach today

Weather near Blacks Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:01 pm (local time).

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