Weather in Alva

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:55 am (GMT+10)

Now · mainly clear 82 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 77 / 83 °F
Rain: 7%
Wind: 7 mph NE

↗ 30.09 inHg · rising UV 13 · extreme

Today in Alva: overcast, 77 °F to 83 °F, with a 7% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 76 °F to 83 °F and a 88% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 83 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

83° 77°
Today
83° 76°
Fri 30
79° 75°
Sat 31
81° 75°
Sun 1
82° 77°
Mon 2
82° 76°
Tue 3
83° 77°
Wed 4
82° 78°
Thu 5
84° 78°
Fri 6
83° 77°
Sat 7
85° 78°
Sun 8
83° 78°
Mon 9
81° 77°
Tue 10
80° 74°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	77 / 83 °F	7%	9 mph NE	1.3 ft	11:18 am · 10:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	88% · 0.09 in	12 mph ENE	3.3 ft	12:40 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light rain	75 / 79 °F	86% · 0.46 in	12 mph ENE	3.4 ft	12:16 am · 2:19 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	14% · 0.09 in	11 mph ENE	2.2 ft	3:11 am · 3:45 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	12% · 0.01 in	9 mph NE	0.9 ft	4:38 am · 4:44 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	8% · 0.01 in	9 mph NNE	0.7 ft	5:28 am · 5:28 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Mainly clear	77 / 83 °F	2%	13 mph N	0.5 ft	6:08 am · 6:04 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	78 / 82 °F	4%	12 mph N	1.0 ft	6:44 am · 6:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	78 / 84 °F	18%	10 mph N	1.1 ft	7:18 am · 7:05 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	77 / 83 °F	27%	9 mph NNE	1.4 ft	7:52 am · 7:32 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	25% · 0.00 in	9 mph ENE	2.2 ft	8:25 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	24% · 0.14 in	17 mph E	4.5 ft	8:58 am · 8:22 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	77 / 81 °F	37% · 0.22 in	18 mph ESE	5.7 ft	9:32 am · 8:44 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	74 / 80 °F	40% · 0.24 in	16 mph E	5.5 ft	10:08 am · 9:04 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear
Temperature	78°	77°	78°	82°	83°	82°	79°	79°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	1%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 NNE	4 NE	7 ENE	7 NE	8 NE	8 NE	8 NE	8 ENE
Humidity	82%	85%	81%	71%	69%	69%	76%	79%
UV	0	0	0	6	13	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	83°	83°	79°	81°	82°	82°	83°
AIFS	84°	82°	80°	83°	84°	84°	84°
GFS	83°	83°	80°	82°	83°	83°	84°
ICON	86°	83°	83°	86°	87°	87°	86°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.09 in	0.46 in	0.09 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.00 in	0.16 in	0.43 in	0.04 in	0	0	0
GFS	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.37 in	0.00 in	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0.01 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	917	1222	1220	1120	920	921	1323
AIFS	9	11	11	9	9	10	11
GFS	1317	1418	1318	1215	1315	1418	1418
ICON	1222	1222	1324	1121	1123	1426	1426
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	7%	88%	86%	14%	12%	8%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	2%	41%	61%	23%	1%	3%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −51%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Above +65%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	89° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	89° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	89° / 77°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −30%
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −26%
January	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Alva climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Alva is from June to October: highs of 76 °F to 85 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to April, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Alva, about 5 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kirrily, in January 2024.

89° 75°

JanJ
89° 75°

FebF
87° 74°

MarM
85° 70°

AprA
82° 66°

MayM
78° 61°

JunJ
76° 58°

JulJ
78° 59°

AugA
82° 64°

SepS
85° 68°

OctO
87° 72°

NovN
89° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	89°	75°	9.91 in	12	7.2	84°	2.7 ft	7
FebruaryFeb	89°	75°	10.46 in	14	7.0	84°	2.7 ft	2
MarchMar	87°	74°	5.95 in	8	7.4	83°	2.8 ft	3
AprilApr	85°	70°	2.36 in	4	8.3	80°	3.1 ft	2
MayMay	82°	66°	1.35 in	3	7.5	77°	3.0 ft	–
JuneJun	78°	61°	0.91 in	2	7.6	74°	2.7 ft	–
JulyJul	76°	58°	0.57 in	1	8.9	72°	2.7 ft	–
AugustAug	78°	59°	0.56 in	2	9.4	72°	2.4 ft	–
SeptemberSep	82°	64°	0.59 in	1	10.1	75°	2.5 ft	–
OctoberOct	85°	68°	1.30 in	3	9.5	78°	2.6 ft	–
NovemberNov	87°	72°	3.06 in	5	9.0	81°	2.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	89°	74°	5.43 in	9	8.5	83°	2.6 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	84°	2.7 ft	7
Feb	84°	2.7 ft	2
Mar	83°	2.8 ft	3
Apr	80°	3.1 ft	2
May	77°	3.0 ft	–
Jun	74°	2.7 ft	–
Jul	72°	2.7 ft	–
Aug	72°	2.4 ft	–
Sep	75°	2.5 ft	–
Oct	78°	2.6 ft	–
Nov	81°	2.5 ft	–
Dec	83°	2.6 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 42.44 in of rain on about 64 days and about 3,050 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now82 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow76 / 83 °F

It's 82 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 77 °F to 83 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 7%
Fri 30 88% 0.09 in
Sat 31 86% 0.46 in
Sun 1 14% 0.09 in
Mon 2 12% 0.01 in
Tue 3 8% 0.01 in
Wed 4 2%

Today the chance of rain reaches 7%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 88% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.07 in; last 7 days, 0.59 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity71%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds47%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now6

Today's peak13extreme

Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 13

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 30.00

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	0.05 in	9 mph NE
Mon 26	Overcast	76 / 83 °F	0	10 mph NE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NE
Sat 24	Light rain	76 / 79 °F	0.39 in	10 mph NNE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.11 in	13 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	74 / 81 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	75 / 80 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ENE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.03 in	14 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	72 / 79 °F	0.07 in	18 mph E
Sun 18	Light drizzle	73 / 79 °F	0.14 in	15 mph E
Sat 17	Light drizzle	72 / 78 °F	0.10 in	17 mph E
Fri 16	Drizzle	73 / 80 °F	0.22 in	17 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	0.02 in	12 mph ENE
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	75 / 82 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	73 / 80 °F	0.07 in	11 mph ENE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	73 / 80 °F	0	12 mph E
Sun 11	Partly cloudy	74 / 80 °F	0	11 mph E
Sat 10	Overcast	72 / 80 °F	0	9 mph NE
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	72 / 78 °F	0	10 mph E
Thu 8	Mainly clear	72 / 78 °F	0	12 mph E
Wed 7	Mainly clear	71 / 78 °F	0	9 mph E
Tue 6	Light drizzle	70 / 78 °F	0.01 in	10 mph E
Mon 5	Mainly clear	69 / 77 °F	0	10 mph E
Sun 4	Mainly clear	68 / 77 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Sat 3	Mainly clear	65 / 77 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	66 / 76 °F	0.01 in	18 mph ESE
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	70 / 76 °F	0	19 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	71 / 76 °F	0.02 in	18 mph ESE
Tue 29	Overcast	69 / 77 °F	0	17 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in AlvaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Alva?

Overcast, from 77 °F to 83 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph) and a 7% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Alva?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 88% (0.09 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 83 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 13 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.09 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Alva?

The best time to visit Alva is from June to October: highs of 76 °F to 85 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Alva in October?

In October, Alva normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 3 rainy days (1.30 in for the month) and 10 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Alva?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 58 °F. The wettest is February (10.46 in) and the driest, August.

When is cyclone season in Alva?

Cyclone season: from January to April, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Alva, about 5 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kirrily, in January 2024.

More about Alva today

Weather near Alva

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:55 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from