Weather in Old Erowal Bay
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:02 am (GMT+11)- Feels like
- 68 °F
- Low / high
- 53 / 69 °F
- Rain
- 12%
- Wind
- 2 mph S
Today in Old Erowal Bay: partly cloudy, 53 °F to 69 °F, with a 12% chance of rain and a light air from the south (2 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 55 °F to 69 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 75 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (61%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 53 / 69 °F | 12% | 12 mph S | 5.5 ft | 11:02 am · 11:56 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 55 / 69 °F | 0% | 20 mph NNE | 5.6 ft | 11:54 am | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 61 / 73 °F | 61% · 0.08 in | 21 mph NNE | 4.3 ft | 1:00 am · 12:51 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 64 / 69 °F | 58% · 0.25 in | 12 mph SSE | 4.2 ft | 2:08 am · 1:55 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 61 / 70 °F | 43% · 0.06 in | 20 mph NNE | 3.7 ft | 3:19 am · 3:03 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 65 / 75 °F | 57% · 0.20 in | 16 mph NNE | 3.3 ft | 4:25 am · 4:13 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 64 / 69 °F | 29% · 0.07 in | 17 mph NE | 2.8 ft | 5:23 am · 5:17 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 62 / 72 °F | 26% · 0.05 in | 13 mph W | 3.9 ft | 6:12 am · 6:15 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 60 / 68 °F | 8% · 0.64 in | 26 mph SSW | 4.7 ft | 6:56 am · 7:06 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 58 / 71 °F | 37% · 0.35 in | 15 mph E | 7.8 ft | 7:35 am · 7:52 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 61 / 65 °F | 37% · 0.02 in | 19 mph S | 9.8 ft | 8:11 am · 8:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 56 / 68 °F | 34% · 0.07 in | 19 mph NNE | 5.6 ft | 8:47 am · 9:18 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 60 / 72 °F | 27% | 24 mph NNE | 7.0 ft | 9:21 am · 10:00 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 66 / 75 °F | 27% · 0.21 in | 15 mph NNE | 6.5 ft | 9:55 am · 10:42 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear sky | Clear sky | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Partly cloudy |
| Temperature | 55° | 54° | 55° | 63° | 69° | 67° | 65° | 63° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 7 WNW | 8 WNW | 9 W | 4 W | 8 SE | 12 SE | 7 SE | 4 SE |
| Humidity | 81% | 72% | 65% | 61% | 58% | 61% | 65% | 75% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on temperature on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 69° | 69° | 73° | 69° | 70° | 75° | 69° |
| AIFS | 68° | 71° | 74° | 68° | 70° | 69° | 74° |
| GFS | 70° | 72° | 80° | 66° | 72° | 63° | 73° |
| ICON | 71° | 73° | 84° | 72° | 73° | 76° | 73° |
| Confidence | high | high | low | medium | high | low | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0 | 0.08 in | 0.25 in | 0.06 in | 0.20 in | 0.07 in |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0.07 in | 0.21 in | 0.09 in | 0.31 in | 0.07 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0.19 in | 0.06 in | 0.07 in | 1.07 in | 0.57 in |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0.06 in | 0.00 in | 0.11 in | 0.34 in | 0.17 in |
| Confidence | high | high | high | medium | high | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1224 | 2036 | 2138 | 1222 | 2030 | 1638 | 1735 |
| AIFS | 8 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| GFS | 1110 | 1632 | 1528 | 921 | 1324 | 819 | 1131 |
| ICON | 919 | 1835 | 1126 | 1223 | 1225 | 1732 | 1020 |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | high | medium | medium | medium |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 12% | 0% | 61% | 58% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 71% | 73% | 55% | 59% | 35% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.6 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal +0.5 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.8 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.6 °F | 69° / 65° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.4 °F | 70° / 65° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.1 °F | 70° / 66° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | Above +2.5 °F |
| December | Above +2.7 °F | Normal | Above +2.7 °F |
| January | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | Above +2.9 °F |
| February | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | Above +2.7 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal | Above +2.5 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Old Erowal Bay climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Old Erowal Bay is from October to January: highs of 69 °F to 77 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 77° | 64° | 3.50 in | 9 | 9.4 | 72° | 5.5 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 77° | 65° | 5.40 in | 10 | 7.7 | 73° | 5.5 ft |
| MarchMar | 75° | 62° | 4.72 in | 9 | 6.9 | 73° | 5.6 ft |
| AprilApr | 71° | 57° | 3.63 in | 8 | 6.3 | 71° | 5.4 ft |
| MayMay | 66° | 53° | 3.63 in | 7 | 5.8 | 69° | 5.5 ft |
| JuneJun | 62° | 50° | 5.32 in | 8 | 5.1 | 66° | 6.1 ft |
| JulyJul | 61° | 48° | 2.85 in | 5 | 5.9 | 64° | 5.5 ft |
| AugustAug | 62° | 49° | 2.86 in | 5 | 6.7 | 63° | 5.6 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 66° | 52° | 2.94 in | 6 | 7.6 | 64° | 5.3 ft |
| OctoberOct | 69° | 55° | 3.02 in | 7 | 8.2 | 65° | 5.3 ft |
| NovemberNov | 72° | 58° | 3.69 in | 8 | 8.5 | 67° | 5.1 ft |
| DecemberDec | 75° | 62° | 2.81 in | 8 | 8.8 | 70° | 5.2 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 72° | 5.5 ft |
| Feb | 73° | 5.5 ft |
| Mar | 73° | 5.6 ft |
| Apr | 71° | 5.4 ft |
| May | 69° | 5.5 ft |
| Jun | 66° | 6.1 ft |
| Jul | 64° | 5.5 ft |
| Aug | 63° | 5.6 ft |
| Sep | 64° | 5.3 ft |
| Oct | 65° | 5.3 ft |
| Nov | 67° | 5.1 ft |
| Dec | 70° | 5.2 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 44.37 in of rain on about 89 days and about 2,650 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 67 °F now (feels like 68 °F). Today, 53 °F to 69 °F; tomorrow, 55 °F to 69 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 12%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 61% and 0.08 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.05 in; last 7 days, 0.50 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 58% now and the dew point is 51 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 6
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.22 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 52 / 67 °F | 0.01 in | 12 mph SW |
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 55 / 68 °F | 0.04 in | 11 mph ENE |
| Mon 26 | Light rain | 59 / 70 °F | 0.24 in | 15 mph S |
| Sun 25 | Drizzle | 65 / 77 °F | 0.09 in | 21 mph NNE |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 61 / 72 °F | 0 | 15 mph NNE |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 65 / 70 °F | 0.05 in | 18 mph NNE |
| Thu 22 | Drizzle | 63 / 71 °F | 0.18 in | 18 mph NE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Overcast | 57 / 71 °F | 0 | 15 mph NNE |
| Tue 20 | Mainly clear | 58 / 70 °F | 0 | 18 mph NNE |
| Mon 19 | Mainly clear | 54 / 69 °F | 0 | 17 mph NNE |
| Sun 18 | Mainly clear | 53 / 68 °F | 0 | 12 mph NNE |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 59 / 66 °F | 0.05 in | 11 mph ENE |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 60 / 65 °F | 0.06 in | 13 mph E |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 53 / 61 °F | 0.06 in | 15 mph S |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 56 / 61 °F | 0.06 in | 19 mph S |
| Tue 13 | Light rain | 58 / 64 °F | 0.70 in | 19 mph SSE |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 59 / 85 °F | 0.01 in | 12 mph NW |
| Sun 11 | Mainly clear | 58 / 70 °F | 0 | 14 mph NNE |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 61 / 81 °F | 0.08 in | 16 mph WNW |
| Fri 9 | Mainly clear | 50 / 67 °F | 0 | 16 mph NNE |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 54 / 63 °F | 0.11 in | 12 mph SSW |
| Wed 7 | Overcast | 56 / 62 °F | 0 | 22 mph S |
| Tue 6 | Drizzle | 61 / 76 °F | 0.11 in | 20 mph W |
| Mon 5 | Light drizzle | 57 / 67 °F | 0.02 in | 8 mph N |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 56 / 69 °F | 0.02 in | 13 mph SW |
| Sat 3 | Light rain | 59 / 67 °F | 0.58 in | 16 mph NNE |
| Fri 2 | Light rain | 60 / 69 °F | 0.52 in | 11 mph SSW |
| Thu 1 | Overcast | 59 / 74 °F | 0 | 14 mph N |
| Wed 30 | Overcast | 51 / 71 °F | 0 | 15 mph N |
| Tue 29 | Partly cloudy | 49 / 65 °F | 0 | 17 mph N |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Old Erowal BayQuestions
What's the weather like today in Old Erowal Bay?
Partly cloudy, from 53 °F to 69 °F, with a light air from the south (2 mph) and a 12% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Old Erowal Bay?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 53 °F and a high of 75 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.20 inHg and steady: +0.17 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Old Erowal Bay?
The best time to visit Old Erowal Bay is from October to January: highs of 69 °F to 77 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Old Erowal Bay in October?
In October, Old Erowal Bay normally sees highs of 69 °F and lows of 55 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.02 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Old Erowal Bay?
The warmest is January, with average highs of 77 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 48 °F. The wettest is February (5.40 in) and the driest, December.
More about Old Erowal Bay today
Weather near Old Erowal Bay
- St. Georges Basin 69 °F · clear sky · 2.7 mi
- Jervis Bay Village 67 °F · mainly clear · 4.5 mi
- Sussex Inlet 66 °F · mainly clear · 6.0 mi
- Bomaderry 68 °F · clear sky · 16 mi
- Coolangatta 66 °F · clear sky · 17 mi
- Burrill Lake 66 °F · mainly clear · 24 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:02 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from