Weather in Guerilla Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:28 pm (GMT+11)

Now · overcast 61 °F

Feels like: 62 °F
Low / high: 44 / 74 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 2 mph E

↗ 30.26 inHg · rising UV 9 · very high

Today in Guerilla Bay: overcast, 44 °F to 74 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light air from the east (2 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 53 °F to 78 °F and a 10% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (76%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

74° 44°
Today
78° 53°
Fri 30
82° 56°
Sat 31
69° 57°
Sun 1
74° 58°
Mon 2
76° 58°
Tue 3
74° 54°
Wed 4
70° 47°
Thu 5
82° 47°
Fri 6
64° 54°
Sat 7
64° 43°
Sun 8
67° 50°
Mon 9
76° 49°
Tue 10
82° 52°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	44 / 74 °F	0%	9 mph ENE	5.4 ft	11:27 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	53 / 78 °F	10%	9 mph NE	5.2 ft	12:15 am · 12:19 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	56 / 82 °F	76% · 0.20 in	13 mph NW	5.4 ft	1:15 am · 1:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	57 / 69 °F	76% · 0.46 in	7 mph ENE	4.2 ft	2:21 am · 2:19 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	58 / 74 °F	57% · 0.17 in	10 mph ENE	4.1 ft	3:31 am · 3:26 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Showers	58 / 76 °F	84% · 1.18 in	6 mph WNW	5.4 ft	4:39 am · 4:34 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	54 / 74 °F	57% · 0.07 in	6 mph E	3.9 ft	5:37 am · 5:38 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	47 / 70 °F	56%	8 mph SSE	7.2 ft	6:28 am · 6:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	47 / 82 °F	13%	12 mph NW	8.5 ft	7:12 am · 7:27 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	54 / 64 °F	42% · 0.19 in	7 mph NNW	5.3 ft	7:53 am · 8:13 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	43 / 64 °F	39%	9 mph SE	—	8:31 am · 8:57 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	50 / 67 °F	22% · 0.05 in	8 mph NNE	—	9:07 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	49 / 76 °F	25%	11 mph NNE	—	9:43 am · 10:20 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	52 / 82 °F	27%	9 mph NNE	—	10:19 am · 11:01 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	49°	46°	48°	64°	74°	71°	66°	61°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 WNW	5 WNW	3 WNW	2 SW	4 E	9 E	5 E	2 ENE
Humidity	98%	97%	92%	59%	40%	52%	67%	86%
UV	0	0	0	3	7	6	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	74°	78°	82°	69°	74°	76°	74°
AIFS	73°	74°	76°	66°	71°	69°	67°
GFS	66°	70°	80°	63°	70°	67°	70°
ICON	70°	74°	85°	67°	71°	65°	65°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0.20 in	0.46 in	0.17 in	1.18 in	0.07 in
AIFS	0	0	0.12 in	0.43 in	0.12 in	0.54 in	0.57 in
GFS	0	0	0.11 in	0.10 in	0.23 in	0.59 in	0.40 in
ICON	0	0	0.04 in	0.12 in	0.01 in	1.82 in	0.09 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	927	927	1336	720	1028	628	627
AIFS	6	8	8	5	5	4	4
GFS	1110	1826	1523	1117	1622	1216	1924
ICON	921	1329	1024	819	1023	511	920
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	medium	medium	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	10%	76%	76%	57%	84%	57%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	68%	67%	74%	77%	33%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	68° / 63°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	69° / 64°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	69° / 64°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +3.2 °F
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +3.1 °F
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +3.2 °F
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +3.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Guerilla Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Guerilla Bay is from November to April: highs of 71 °F to 76 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

76° 63°

JanJ
76° 64°

FebF
74° 61°

MarM
71° 56°

AprA
67° 51°

MayM
63° 47°

JunJ
62° 45°

JulJ
64° 46°

AugA
67° 49°

SepS
69° 53°

OctO
71° 57°

NovN
74° 60°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	76°	63°	3.43 in	8	9.9	71°	4.2 ft
FebruaryFeb	76°	64°	5.25 in	8	7.9	72°	4.3 ft
MarchMar	74°	61°	4.55 in	8	7.3	72°	4.3 ft
AprilApr	71°	56°	3.20 in	6	6.3	71°	4.0 ft
MayMay	67°	51°	2.71 in	5	5.7	68°	3.8 ft
JuneJun	63°	47°	3.98 in	6	5.0	65°	4.4 ft
JulyJul	62°	45°	2.09 in	4	5.8	63°	3.8 ft
AugustAug	64°	46°	2.57 in	4	6.6	62°	3.9 ft
SeptemberSep	67°	49°	2.63 in	6	7.4	62°	3.9 ft
OctoberOct	69°	53°	3.47 in	7	8.2	64°	4.0 ft
NovemberNov	71°	57°	3.85 in	8	8.5	66°	3.9 ft
DecemberDec	74°	60°	3.01 in	8	9.0	69°	4.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	71°	4.2 ft
Feb	72°	4.3 ft
Mar	72°	4.3 ft
Apr	71°	4.0 ft
May	68°	3.8 ft
Jun	65°	4.4 ft
Jul	63°	3.8 ft
Aug	62°	3.9 ft
Sep	62°	3.9 ft
Oct	64°	4.0 ft
Nov	66°	3.9 ft
Dec	69°	4.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 40.74 in of rain on about 78 days and about 2,650 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 62 °F

Tomorrow53 / 78 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 62 °F). Today, 44 °F to 74 °F; tomorrow, 53 °F to 78 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 10%
Sat 31 76% 0.20 in
Sun 1 76% 0.46 in
Mon 2 57% 0.17 in
Tue 3 84% 1.18 in
Wed 4 57% 0.07 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 76% and 0.20 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.15 in; last 7 days, 0.58 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity84%

Dew point56 °F

Humidity is 84% now and the dew point is 56 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 29.70

Rising now (+0.06 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.52 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 33

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	48 / 73 °F	0.01 in	8 mph WSW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	50 / 68 °F	0.14 in	11 mph ESE
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	56 / 69 °F	0.21 in	10 mph ESE
Sun 25	Drizzle	61 / 91 °F	0.09 in	15 mph NW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	55 / 86 °F	0.01 in	8 mph N
Fri 23	Drizzle	56 / 79 °F	0.11 in	9 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	51 / 74 °F	0.09 in	11 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	53 / 83 °F	0	8 mph NE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	49 / 80 °F	0.02 in	7 mph N
Mon 19	Light drizzle	49 / 76 °F	0.01 in	9 mph N
Sun 18	Light drizzle	46 / 72 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	48 / 68 °F	0.07 in	7 mph ENE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	50 / 65 °F	0.13 in	8 mph ENE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	42 / 62 °F	0.05 in	7 mph S
Wed 14	Light drizzle	49 / 67 °F	0.02 in	8 mph SSE
Tue 13	Drizzle	53 / 61 °F	0.31 in	7 mph ESE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	54 / 89 °F	0.05 in	11 mph WNW
Sun 11	Overcast	53 / 82 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	51 / 85 °F	0.14 in	13 mph WNW
Fri 9	Overcast	44 / 76 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	43 / 69 °F	0	7 mph WNW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	46 / 66 °F	0.05 in	9 mph S
Tue 6	Light drizzle	51 / 81 °F	0.01 in	6 mph WSW
Mon 5	Light drizzle	57 / 71 °F	0.05 in	4 mph NW
Sun 4	Drizzle	51 / 73 °F	0.11 in	7 mph W
Sat 3	Light rain	54 / 64 °F	1.00 in	5 mph NW
Fri 2	Drizzle	60 / 67 °F	0.38 in	5 mph ENE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	56 / 86 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WNW
Wed 30	Overcast	46 / 83 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Tue 29	Mainly clear	40 / 73 °F	0	8 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Guerilla BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Guerilla Bay?

Overcast, from 44 °F to 74 °F, with a light air from the east (2 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Guerilla Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 10% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 44 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.26 inHg and rising: +0.19 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Guerilla Bay?

The best time to visit Guerilla Bay is from November to April: highs of 71 °F to 76 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Guerilla Bay in October?

In October, Guerilla Bay normally sees highs of 69 °F and lows of 53 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.47 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 64 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Guerilla Bay?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 76 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 45 °F. The wettest is February (5.25 in) and the driest, July.

More about Guerilla Bay today

Weather near Guerilla Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:28 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from